Fungible? What’s That?

Lynne Kiesling

Sunday’s Dilbert is a funny and accurate send-up of the idea of achieving “energy independence”. Punchline:

Oil is a fungible commodity. The capitalist system virtually guarantees that you’ll end up buying the lowest cost oil from source unknown to you.

Scott Adams clearly learned more from his econ classes at Amherst than most politicians and many other folks have.

Thanks to John Atkinson for the heads up. Check out his regular energy roundups at Winds of Change.

Economics and Culture of Australian and French Wine

Lynne Kiesling

Charles Bremner is the (London) Times Paris correspondent, and he had an interesting post the other day about the economics and culture of French and Australian wine:

Australia’s success at selling its supposedly simple-minded wines has now created something of a French-style grape glut around Adelaide, with producers turning out too much plonk (a good old Australian word, by the way). But arriving from France, with its antique regulations and years of violent protest by angry growers, it is refreshing to be somewhere that sees wine as a straightforward business in which you make a product with the aim of finding a customer.

The same thoughts apply to Australia as a whole. The cliché of the matey, blokey, easy-going continent may be overdone, but a week in Oz offers an antidote to life in over-crowded, ever-defensive, continental Europe. Australia’s informality is refreshing after France’s stiff manners. In Paris, my young concierge of six years standing still calls me Monsieur and my local shop-keepers maintain a chilly distance. In Australia, you use first names immediately and the cashier ends the transaction with “no worries, mate.” French anguish about foreigners taking over the economy do not have an Australian equivalent. Parisians, on the other hand, do not fret over some current Adelaide preoccupations, such as the size of your barbecue or whether the new Ute (known in French as le pick-up) has got a slot for the Esky (une glacière, or ice-box, for cooling the beer).

He also discusses the “wine glut”, the apparent large quantity of low-quality plonk being produced in both France and Australia. Good discussion, but he doesn’t resolve the issue. So I ask: is the production of lots of plonk a reflection of customer preferences, or is there something else going on? Producers trying to shape preferences, “down to lowest common denominator” to decrease their production costs or increase their margins? Is there a mystery here?

Thanks to my dad for the link.

Microbes, Enzymes, and Cellulosic Ethanol

Lynne Kiesling

Here’s an interesting Wired article on enzymes from microbes and the production of cellulosic ethanol.

As a counter to the “gee whiz, isn’t it cool that we can do that?” nature of that article, here’s Kevin Hassett of AEI writing in Bloomberg:

Indeed, no matter how expensive fossil fuels become, ethanol will never be economical because it takes so much fossil fuel to produce. It might be possible that someday technological processes will emerge that make production of ethanol less reliant on fossil fuels, but the billions in subsidies to this point have left us with a process that is still a disgrace and an absurd waste of energy and taxpayers’ money.

And the Environmental Protection Agency has cited ethanol plants themselves for air pollution. In a letter to the industry’s trade group, the EPA noted that pollution was a problem in “most, if not all, ethanol facilities.” These plants produce large quantities of waste water as well.

Ethanol itself contributes to air pollution. Cars emit more air pollution when they run on gasoline containing ethanol than they do when running on gasoline alone. Our environment would be greener if we stopped relying on ethanol.

Thanks to Dr. Vino for emailing me the Bloomberg link.

Lynn Swann for Governor of Pennsylvania?

Lynne Kiesling

My childhood Steeler hero Lynn Swann is likely to be the Republican candidate for Governor in Pennsylvania in the upcoming election. Swann, a resident of Sewickley Heights (a suburb of Pittsburgh), is statistically tied with incumbent Governor Ed Rendell in a recent poll.

An interesting quote from Swann, from the Post article:

Swann is seeking to become Pennsylvania’s first black governor. Though he has revealed little about his political philosophy, he has said the Democratic Party has “taken the African American vote for granted.”

Here’s the campaign website. See also this earlier thread from Patrick Ruffini.

This is gonna be interesting.

Olympic Women’s Hockey

Lynne Kiesling

Feeling sporty here at KP … I am happy that the Olympics have begun with women’s hockey, and have been watching as much of it as possible. I have not seen either USA game, although I have seen both Italy games. Italy lost to Canada 16-0 and just this morning lost to Sweden 11-0. Italy was definitely outplayed, but they sure stuck with it. Their starting goalie was incredibly impressive, especially against Canada. Since I haven’t seen USA play, I can’t compare, but Canada is looking really good.

Actually, I was tickled by something that only my father and other long-time Pittsburgh Penguins fans will appreciate. One of the best forwards for Canada is #10, Gillian Apps. She is the daughter of Syl Apps, long-time Penguin who I remember fondly from my youth.

I am impressed with how NBC is using technology to provide information about schedules, results, etc. They are providing lots of stats for all of the women. You can also sign up for alerts.

Yay women’s hockey!

Should the Government Fund Scientific Research?

Lynne Kiesling

Such was the question discussed at the Liberty Fund conference I attended over the weekend. Our discussions ran the gamut of all of the theoretical and practical issues associated with the question, from the extent to which basic science is a public good to the costs of governments trying to pick technology winners and the politicization of science.

One thing the discussion highlighted for me was how the Samuelsonian/neoclassical argument about public good provision has permeated even the thinking of the non-economist. It has become common to argue, following Samuelson, that if something has public good characteristics it will be underprovided in equilibrium, and therefore necessarily cannot be provided optimally through market processes.

That logic is false. It ignores this logic, which is a fundamental, basic point in economics: if someone can capture enough benefit at the margin to make it worth it to them to incur the marginal cost, they will provide the good. If marginal benefit is greater than marginal cost, you do it. If others derive benefit and free ride on you, so what?

Of course, that is a static argument, so let’s introduce some dynamics and see what kind of strategic behavior we might see. Only here I want to keep my framework in which one agent’s marginal benefit exceeds his/her marginal cost. Suppose that is the case, and suppose further that government has bought into the false Samuelsonian presumption of inefficient free riding in equilibrium. In that situation, does the agent with MB>MC have an incentive to provide the good? No, because if someone else will pay for it, then I can enjoy the MB without having to incur all of the MC. So conditional on the existence of government funding, the agent who would otherwise pay for the good becomes a free rider.

My point is that the free rider problem is an empirical one, and it’s a dynamic and strategic question. We have all sorts of evidence, empirical and experimental, that inefficient free riding does not always occur in public good situations, but it can occur, depending on the context and institutions governing the transaction. We have empirical evidence that private agents will engage in basic research. But will they engage in enough? Of course, one of the difficulties is that we do not know the optimal amount of research.

Not only is the free rider problem in research empirical, it’s important to remember not to commit the Nirvana fallacy. Just because private agents may underprovide research relative to some theoretical government-funded benchmark, that doesn’t mean you are making the correct comparison. The correct comparison has to incorporate the transaction costs under both alternatives, the potentially negative effects of being too commercially focused in private research, the effects of short-term focus in both private and public funding, the dissipation of value through rent-seeking for public funding, and the costs of the politicization of research that can arise with public funding.

Knitting Olympics

Lynne Kiesling

OK, I’m throwing my knitting lot in with two teams, fair isle knit team and team Chicago:

usFIteamKIchicago

For you non-knitters, here’s the challenge: cast on a new project that stretches your skills during the opening ceremonies, and finish it by the time the Olympics end.

My stretch: multi-color fair isle, which I’ve never done. I love fair isle, but have only done two-color in the past. For this challenge I’ll be making a fair isle hat.