Archive for January, 2009

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ITQ story on NPR this morning

January 8, 2009

Lynne Kiesling

Right now NPR is running an excellent story on ITQs (individual transferable quotas) in fishing. Will post the link when it’s live.

UPDATE: Here’s the link to the transcript and the audio. From the transcript, check out this good discussion of ITQs:

Randy Smith’s share of the catch didn’t increase as much as he expected when he agreed to buy out his colleagues. That’s partly because the allowable catch factors in a certain amount of waste.

“Right now we’re on a two-month quota,” he explains. “We’re given so much fish we can catch in two months, period. That creates waste because when you meet the quota, and when you go over the quota, you’ve got to throw fish away.”

Dead fish just get dumped overboard. Smith says he can’t help that if he wants to work within the rules.

“The net’s on the bottom and you can’t see it, and if you tow for 15 minutes too long, you could have too much fish.”

To address that and other problems, the Pacific Fishery Management Council recently approved a major change to the rules. They’re instituting a new scheme called individual transferable quotas.

Here’s how they work: Smith will get a quota he can fill throughout an entire year, so he’ll have only one deadline to worry about, not six. And he doesn’t have to catch all the fish himself. He can buy, sell or trade quotas. So for example if he accidentally catches too many petrale sole, he can get on the radio and buy shares of petrale quota from another fishermen instead of dumping his fish — dead — back into the sea.

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Alex has more to say on smart grid and stimulus

January 8, 2009

Lynne Kiesling

Run, don’t walk, to Marginal Revolution and read Alex’s post today on smart grid investments. I’ll have more to say on this point later, but I have a date with a stationary bike and a swim pool that I must keep.

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Russia throwing its gassy weight around, again

January 7, 2009

Lynne Kiesling

Is anyone really surprised that Russia is stopping natural gas shipments to Ukraine and the EU? They did the same thing three years ago, in a cold spell. They used the same rhetoric, saying that Ukraine was at fault for stopping the flow of gas to the EU via the pipeline that runs through Ukraine. The BBC reports by country on how the EU is coping with this reduction in Russian natural gas supplies.

If this isn’t a good reason to diversify supply in the short run and reduce use of energy in the long run, I don’t know what is.

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News from the CES: Induction chargers FTW?

January 7, 2009

Lynne Kiesling

[Note: FTW=for the win, for those of you who don't waste your time in the jargon of the tubez of the Interwebz.-ed.]

I am glad to hear that the big buzz from the Consumer Electronics Show 2009 is induction chargers for electronic devices. Wikipedia’s got a nice explanation of inductive charging if you are not familiar with the idea; if you want an example, think about your electric toothbrush and its base. No exposed metal contacts, and yet the toothbrush charges, although it does take a long time.

At CES the induction charger that’s producing this buzz is the Powermat. It’s a fold-out mat with a plug; you plug it in, you lay the device on the mat, and the device charges by induction. Powermat claims to have a proprietary technology that decreases the charging time that has plagued induction chargers for years. This LA Times blog post gives some more details:

What makes wireless induction chargers so alluring is that it frees absent-minded geeks from having to keep track of their chargers and periodically having to untangle the rat’s nest created by these blasted cords. Powermat showed off how its chargers can juice up iPods, hand-held game consoles, cellphones and laptops all at once. …

Of course, the mat itself needs to be plugged into the wall, so it’s not completely wireless. But it does cut down the number of wires required to charge devices. …

Each mat will cost around $100. But that’s not all. You’ll also have to buy receivers — doodads that connect your devices to the mats and conduct the charge. Those will set you back around $30 a pop. So waving goodbye to wired chargers might also mean parting with a good chunk of change.

It’s also not clear whether or not you use more electricity to charge the device using inductive charging than direct current charging. So let’s not be premature in declaring “induction chargers FTW!” But advancements in inductive charging are a welcome innovation, and some early adopters will buy them, and they are likely to follow the development and market path that most new technologies do. If induction chargers provide consumers with greater convenience and with more confidence that their devices will have a charge more of the time, then I expect there to be a place in the market for them. How far that penetrates into the mass market will depend on the technology’s evolution and pricing.

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New energy blog: Master Resource

January 7, 2009

Lynne Kiesling

Welcome Master Resource to the party! It’s a free-market energy blog with a decidedly Julian Simon-esque flavor, so I think these will be welcome online voices in our upcoming energy policy discussions. And thanks to Steve Horwitz for the pointer, and his kinds words about Knowledge Problem.

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Apple’s new iTunes pricing and DRM-free songs: the results of competition

January 7, 2009

Lynne Kiesling

Yesterday Apple announced two changes to its iTunes policies: they are introducing price discrimination, and they are removing DRM copy protection from the songs sold through iTunes. Resulting from extensive negotiations between Apple and record companies, these are two long-anticipated and welcome changes, and they are the consequence of competition in two different parts of the music value chain.

The price discrimination is something that’s been discussed for years — why sell all songs at 99 cents when some people are willing to pay more for some songs (such as new releases), and some songs are clearly not as popular? Furthermore, why not allow those prices to change as demand changes over time? Discount those bygone new releases! As noted in the New York Times article on the move,

… Apple, whose dominance in online music sales gives it powerful leverage, agreed to a longstanding demand of the music labels and said it would move away from its insistence on pricing all individual song downloads on iTunes at 99 cents.

Instead, the majority of songs will drop to 69 cents beginning in April, while the biggest hits and newest songs will go for $1.29. Others that are moderately popular will remain at 99 cents.

The other move, allowing the sale of DRM-free songs, is the record companies’ concession to Apple in return for allowing the price discrimination. From the Wall Street Journal article on the move:

Apple also said it is dropping digital rights management, or copy protection, from eight million songs in its catalog effective immediately, and from the remaining two million in its catalog by the end of March.

Apple’s DRM has made it complicated for iTunes customers to use competitors’ products, like SanDisk Corp. music players or Microsoft Corp.’s Zune. Among the limits imposed by the software locks, it is difficult or impossible to play songs purchased from the iTunes Store on devices other than the iPod or iPhone.

Apple already sells songs from some record labels, including EMI Group Ltd. and many independent labels, without DRM. Now it is moving to selling everything, including the catalogs of the other three major labels — Sony Corp.’s Sony Music Entertainment, Vivendi SA’s Universal Music Group and Warner Music Group Corp. — the same way.

I think Tyler Cowen is wrong that these moves are “first a way to raise prices, yet without the consumer seeing nothing in return.” They may be a way to raise revenue for both Apple and the record companies, but the only way that this move will raise prices is if the dramatic majority of songs purchased through iTunes are the higher-priced new releases. Moreover, sinced the songs are DRM-free, each song actually has more desirable qualities to consumers, so it makes economic sense that they would be willing to pay more per song for a DRM-free song than a DRM-encumbered song — so if prices are essentially higher, so what? Mutual exchange of value for value, and we all know that price discrimination is value- and efficiency-enhancing.

What’s really interesting in this story, though, is the dynamics of the rivalrous market process through which this outcome has come about. The first competitive driver here is Amazon’s DRM-free music store, which has been competing very effectively with iTunes since its opening and cutting into iTunes’ revenues. The second is the strategic interaction between the record companies and Apple, and how the lack of downstream competition for iTunes induced record companies to offer their music DRM-free through Amazon, but not through iTunes. This decision was part of a deliberate strategy to induce online retail music competitors for iTunes, because the record companies wanted to dilute iTunes’ downstream market power. Apparently they believe that they have achieved this outcome, because they were willing to strike this agreement with Apple; similarly, Apple has felt the revenue-reducing effects of competition from Amazon, inducing it to agree to change its pricing in return for getting to offer DRM-free music.

I love this. It’s a great case study in the dynamics and the strategic interaction inherent in rivalrous market processes.

You can also upgrade your old DRM-encumbered iTunes music to DRM-free for 30 cents per song and 30% of an album’s cost (around $3.00). CNet’s conclusion on this point is particularly important:

With the move, Apple’s iTunes is also making its strongest foray into interoperability. From now on, iTunes’ music should play on any digital player, meaning iTunes users don’t have to worry about their music libraries being locked out of some future digital music player.

In other words, DRM-free music in a standard format (and now both AAC and MP3 are standard) will “future proof” purchases of music in the face of possible future changes to music players, the firms making music players, etc. The move from a proprietary architecture to an open architecture using an industry standard is good for competition, good for consumers, and good for innovators who will develop these future music players, of whom Apple is likely to remain a large one.

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GATES MEND RISK is an anagram for MARKET DESIGNS

January 4, 2009

Michael Giberson

At the end of a post, The credit crisis and market design, at his Market Design blog, Al Roth parenthetically remarked that an anagram for MARKET DESIGN is NEGATED SMIRK.

While the body of the post offered substance worthy of reflection, this comment naturally sent me to the Internet Anagram Server to see what other anagrams might be available. Sneaking in an extra S by making DESIGN plural gets me the satisfying GATES MEND RISK, which might be seen as a market design approach to the tragedy of the commons.

(Other notable anagrams for MARKET DESIGN: a market designer might be the KINDEST GAMER; market design might minimize disease: MANGE SKIRTED; incentives for fewer questions: ASKING METRED; efficiency gains may be small: A SMIDGEN TREK; mathematical tool advice: NEED TRIG MASK. There are more, IT RANKED GEMS, and the anagram server reports there are 9004 others, but I’ll leave the sifting to the interested reader. After all, Roth has substantive comments worth considering.)

Roth writes:

The WSJ, in its Real Time Economics Blog and in a related story in their January 2 issue, raises some questions about how discussion of financial market regulation has turned into a discussion of market design (although that’s not exactly the way they put it). They recount the poor reception given to Raghuram G. Rajan’s 2005 presentation at the Fed’s Jackson Hole conference in honor of Alan Greenspan. Prof. Rajan noted that banks’ increased exposure to the securities markets would make them less able to serve as a source of credit in a crisis, and his concerns were, the story reports, met with disdain by those assembled. The blog summarizes the attitude at the time:

“The episode suggests one reason that the crisis went unchecked: A dangerous all-or-nothing orthodoxy had come to dominate the policy debate, where one was either for free markets or against them. “

The point of the market design movement, of course, is that markets aren’t either “free” or non-existent. A better description is that markets have rules, and some rules work better than others, and the goal of regulators and others who shape the rules should be to find rules that enable markets to work better.

Links in original, emphasis added.

For purposes of a general statement about market design I would not privilege regulators over other ‘rule shapers’, public and private, but in the context the special reference to regulators is appropriate.

(One more MARKET DESIGN anagram, without further comment: GRANDEST MIKE.)

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More nuanced net neutrality discussions

January 2, 2009

Lynne Kiesling

I am happy to have seen more nuanced net neutrality discussions this fall than in the past. In November this Eric Raymond post caught my eye because it dealt with the problems a libertarian faces in net neutrality policy:

Mistake #1 for libertarians to avoid is falling for the telcos’ “we’re pro-free market” bullshit. They’re anything but; what they really want is a politically sheltered monopoly in which they have captured the regulators and created business conditions that fetter everyone but them.

OK, so if the telcos are such villainous scum, the pro-network-neutrality activists must be the heroes of this story, right?

Unfortunately, no.

Your typical network-neutrality activist is a good-government left-liberal who is instinctively hostile to market-based approaches. These people think, rather, that if they can somehow come up with the right regulatory formula, they can jawbone the government into making the telcos play nice. They’re ideologically incapable of questioning the assumption that bandwidth is a scarce “public good” that has to be regulated. They don’t get it that complicated regulations favor the incumbent who can afford to darken the sky with lawyers, and they really don’t get it about outright regulatory capture, a game at which the telcos are past masters.

Yes, precisely. This is the dinner-table argument that the KP Spouse and I have been having for years. Eric’s suggestions:

So, what are libertarians to do?

We can start by remembering a simple truth: The only substantive threat to the telco monopoly is bandwidth that has been removed from the reach of both the telcos and their political catspaws in the regulatorium. Keep your eye on that ball; the telcos know it’s the important one and will try to distract you from it, while the “network neutrality” crowd doesn’t know it and wastes most of its energy self-defeatingly wrestling with the telcos over how to re-slice the existing pie.

Go active whenever there’s a political debate about “unlicensed spectrum”. More of it is good.

Here is an area where I think we still need more nuance. He argues that allowing any device to use spectrum when it does not create destructive interference is a way to reduce the market power of the telcos, which is likely the case. But there are lots of unresolved common-pool resource issues in the use of unlicensed spectrum. I’d like to see more discussion of how to govern those commons privately without having cumbersome and politicized government licensing schemes.

Another good commentary along the same lines came from Julian Sanchez at Ars Technica. In commenting on a new Cato study on net neutrality from Tim Lee, he observes

The debate over net neutrality typically pits proponents of an open Internet defined by an end-to-end architecture against defenders of more selective, less egalitarian routing by service providers. But in “The Durable Internet,” a paper released Wednesday by the libertarian Cato Institute, Tim Lee argues that the “openists” and the “deregulationists” both rely on the same mistaken assumption: that the Internet’s neutral structure won’t survive without government intervention. …

Lee argues that dispersed users tend to spontaneously organize to detect, circumvent, or protest any attempt to censor or degrade service to certain sites. As he points out, even the Defense Department was unable to effectively crack down on uses of ARPANET it considered frivolous. Contemporary broadband providers, whose direct control is always limited to a tiny fraction of the network’s pipes, are unlikely to fare much better. And indeed, had Comcast not backed off its plan to throttle BitTorrent traffic, Lee argues that the cable company would simply have hastened the adoption of header encryption by users.

Julian’s Ars Technica article also points at some other authors who have commented on Lee’s paper, and if you are interested in net neutrality I encourage you to follow those links. What I find interesting and useful about this turn in the discussion is that it brings regulation and durability/resiliency into direct contact — one reason why the Internet has been so valuable is its plasticity, and some of the net neutrality regulation proposals could inadvertently reduce that plasticity.

In both of these strands of discussion I see movement beyond the binary argument that had been the norm in net neutrality discussions over the past several years. This is a good thing, and I hope it leads to beneficial policy discussions and decisions.

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Happy New Year!

January 1, 2009

Lynne Kiesling

All of us at Knowledge Problem wish you a delightful and healthy 2009, and we thank you for being here.

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