Archive for March, 2009

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Greentech Media asks, Will Utilities or Customers Lead in Smart Grid?

March 23, 2009

Michael Giberson

Greentech Media has an interesting short article asking whether utilities or customers will take the lead in smart grid deployment. They suggest the answer is “a little of both.”

Venture capitalist Gerd Goette says that investors do worry about getting out ahead of utilities when pursuing projects. A smart-grid component that can’t communicate with the local electric utility will be much less valuable than one that can, but utilities may not have selection of communication standards as among their priorities.

And there’s another issue to be overcome, he added – determining how utilities manage the data they will collect as a result.

“As long as the utilities hold onto that data and don’t share it with everybody, we’re very constrained on what we can do, unless we want to spend a lot of money,” Gerd noted – a stance that’s held by many players in the smart grid field, including recent entrant Google (see Google Gets Into Home Energy Management). [Link in original.]

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“Twitter marks an advance in freedom”

March 23, 2009

Michael Giberson

“Twitter marks an advance in freedom,” or at least so says Peder Zane in his column at the Raliegh News & Observer. I wouldn’t know, since I still don’t drink from the fountain of tweets. Only, I happened to notice at the end of an essay by Amartya Sen in the New York Review of Books (“Capitalism beyond the Crises,” recommended reading by the way), that the Review offers readers the opportunity to “follow us on Twitter” or “become a fan of the Review on Facebook.”

I’m trying to imaging New York Review of Books-style articles reduced to 140-characters.  Sen’s 4,000+ word article becomes:

Keynes not all. Adam Smith relevant. not dogmatic. Moral Sentiments.
Pigou. markets and capitalism and gov healthcare good for europe, us 2.

Or maybe the NYRofB tweets more of the mundane day-to-day world of publishing, not article summaries:

no room for rosenblatt essay this issue. word came from on high.
editor relieved.

But whatever the Review is doing in Twitterville, doesn’t the mere fact that it is there send a kind of signal to the uber-connected early adopters:

Establishment arrived. You move somewhere else now.

(HT to Arts & Letters Daily for both the Zane and Sen pieces.)

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Becoming a pull organization, or an industry of pull organizations

March 23, 2009

Lynne Kiesling

I really like this HBS blog post called The Case for Institutional Innovation from John Hagel, John Seely Brown, and Lang Davidson. In it they argue that future organizations are more likely to be “pull organizations”:

Pull-based institutions are those that bring the force of attraction to bear on tens or even hundreds of thousands of participants around a common platform. …

Pull institutions unleash the forces of attraction through:

A galvanizing view of the opportunity unfolding as technology and policy changes disrupt a market or industry for a wide range of players. This helps clarify and make sense of an uncertain world, drawing participation and creating buy-in or influence.

A set of positive incentives that share the value among all who helped create it. Incentives can help catalyze collaborative action.

A platform that supports and organizes the activities and interactions of participants.

One reason I like this idea of a “pull organization” (and I use the word “organization” instead of “institution” because an institution is a set of rules or arrangements that structure an interaction) is that it focuses the attention of the firm on the value it provides to the consumer: what is my value proposition, and how can I attract consumers (and, for that matter, investors or employees) toward it?

It won’t surprise anyone when I say that I find this idea incredibly compelling as we look at the potential technological and market opportunities in the electric power industry. This industry’s main operating model for the past century has been very much what they characterize as a push industry:

As the world becomes less certain, scalable efficiency is losing its way. Yet our economy is chock-a-block with businesses that exist to maximize efficiency at scale. Businesses presuming predictability in order to push out mass produced products supported by mass marketing programs. Businesses relying on command and control in a world that’s increasingly difficult to command or control. Businesses losing their leadership positions at an ever-faster rate because they continue to push in a world gone pull.

Yes, the death of command and control has been greatly exaggerated for years now. The early prognosticators, however, mistook the lead times required for deployment of the new digital infrastructure. They also missed how long it would take to develop the new social and business practices needed to harness the capabilities of our new infrastructure–capabilities that are only now becoming visible on the fertile edges of business and society.

What we need, rather than a managerial philosophy based on the communications and transportation infrastructures of the 19th century, is one geared to the digital infrastructure of the 21st. We need a new rationale for our biggest private and public sector institutions–to re-imagine them in line with the world around us. Rather than scalable efficiency, we need scalable connectivity, learning, and performance. Rather than push, we need institutions that pull.

If you put those ideas together, you can see the connection between the kind of business model they have in mind, and the kind of business model and industry structure that I’ve been laying out that is increasingly possible due to smart grid technology. In particular, they argue that pull organizations create value through flows of knowledge, and that the organizational structures that maximize the potential benefit from pull instead of push are more decentralized and less hierarchical.

I think this is also true about the structure of the network itself in electricity, which will have many distributed agents, many of whom can simultaneously be producers and consumers because of technologies like distributed generation and plug-in electric vehicles. There’s a ripe synthesis opportunity here between these ideas and the evolving smart grid.

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Daily reading: AL Daily and The Browser

March 22, 2009

Lynne Kiesling

Looking for some useful and eclectic collections to add to your daily reading? Two that I enjoy are Arts & Letters Daily (AL Daily) and The Browser.

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Walk score: comparing my new and old neighborhoods

March 20, 2009

Michael Giberson

At the Freakonomics blog they mentioned Walk Score, a website that will calculate walk-ability for an address based on number of nearby stores, parks, and other useful places.  They admit that there scoring formula doesn’t get everything, but it did a reasonable job comparing my new address in Lubbock, Texas and my old address in Falls Church, Virginia.

New: 65 (“Somewhat walkable”)

Old: 95 (“Walker’s paradise”)

Well, “Walker’s paradise” might be a modest exaggeration, even for a place practically just around the corner from Brown’s Hardware and the State Theater, but relatively speaking I guess it is a walker’s paradise.

For most of my daily travels, “Somewhat walkable” understates the attractions of my new location, less than a mile from the university.  And in both cases it is/was about 1/4 mile to the nearest coffee shop, so they are equal on that important factor.

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Reiham Salam on the angelheaded hipsters at SXSW Interactive

March 20, 2009

Michael Giberson

At The Atlantic‘s business blog, Reiham Salam invokes sci-fi author Vernor Vinge as he contemplates the meaning of what he saw at the SXSW Interactive Festival, but his post put me more in mind of these famous opening lines:

       I saw the best minds of my generation destroyed by
              madness, starving hysterical naked,
       dragging themselves through the negro streets at dawn
              looking for an angry fix,
       angelheaded hipsters burning for the ancient heavenly
              connection to the starry dynamo in the machin-
              ery of night

Except, you know, in a good way.

Salam said one company’s offering suggested to him a kind of “hipster Second Life that involves dancing alone” and he was “reminded of the anomic dystopia vividly described in Allan Bloom’s The Closing of the American Mind.”  Maybe it was his use of the word “hipster” so near the phrase “anomic dystopia vividly described” that put me in mind of Ginsberg’s Howl.

Nonetheless, Salam finds reasons to hope for the future, reasons to think that the Austin-gathered angelheaded hipsters burning for the ancient wireless connection to the starry dynamo will produce something fantanstic, something capable of enabling the further flourishing of human civilization in all of its diverse manifestations.  (Salam also cites Will Wilkinson, another writer I’m a fan of; the ‘enabling the flourishing … diverse manifestations’ phrase is my mangled nod to Wilkinsonian themes.)

Ginsberg and Bloom may have been pessimistic in the face of all the diverse manifestations of the world, but I’m going with Salam and the future on this one.

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An update of smart grid links

March 20, 2009

Lynne Kiesling

I’m cleaning up my huge tracts of open browser tabs, several of which are interesting recent media comments on smart grid developments in the US:

This editorial in Nature argues that “[t]he US electricity grid needs to evolve and requires fresh standards of communication”. Increasingly smart grid media and policy are turning to “standards”, which is heartening for those of us who have been thinking about smart grid architectural principles for several years. But we’ve also already seen that different parties have stakes in how those standards are developed and defined, and how the $4.5 billion in federal debt-stimulus spending is allocated among different smart grid projects. This Nature editorial also does a good job of pointing out that the future of the electric power network is a decentralized future, and that we may not need to build much more transmission: “bigger is not necessarily smarter”.

This Washington Post graphic is a handy visualization of how smart grid technology can empower consumers to save money, increase energy efficiency, and reduce blackouts. Sadly, they express the same failure of imagination that we continue to see with respect to the retail products and services — the only way that they imagine that consumers will respond to price signals is through participating in “a utility’s incentive program”. C’mon, people, be a little more imaginative! Just because right now the utility (BG&E, Pepco, Dominion in their graphic) is the only retail provider to residential customers doesn’t mean it has to be that way. Think differently about the retail market and you will see the potential value of bundling electricity service with other products and services, like home security, which means the expansion of the retail market … if regulation will but let it happen.

This CNN article asks if smart grid can turn consumers on to energy efficiency. I think this is a pretty good article, and does get the transactive capability of intelligent end-use devices.

And finally, this week’s Economist has a short article about smart grid that points to the Galvin Electricity Initiative’s project with the Illinois Institute of Technology to prototype and test a microgrid with distributed intelligence throughout the IIT campus. The article rightly points out that some of the biggest challenges will be achieving the necessary enabling changes in the state-level regulatory institutions that have governed the organizational structure, investments, products, and profits in this industry for a century.

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FERC’s smart grid policy statement

March 19, 2009

Michael Giberson

FERC has posted it’s proposed smart grid policy statement and invited comments (comments due 45 days after the statement is published in the Federal Register).  FERC offers this summary:

This proposed policy statement and action plan provides guidance to inform the development of a smarter grid for the Nation’s electric transmission system focusing on the development of key standards to achieve interoperability of smart grid devices and systems. The Commission also proposes a rate policy for the interim period until interoperability standards are adopted. Smart grid investments that demonstrate system security and compliance with Commission-approved Reliability Standards, the ability to be upgraded, and other specified criteria will be eligible for timely rate recovery and other rate treatments. This rate policy will encourage development of smart grid systems.

FERC’s efforts are directed toward transmission issues, where it has uncontested jurisdiction (more or less).  Let us hope that we don’t end of with 50+ different state and local policy statements addressing local area wires infrastructure and retail power trading.

The archived webcast of today’s FERC meeting, which did focus on the smart grid policy statement, is now available, or you can download the 31-minute smart grid discussion in mp3 format – just long enough for the typical automobile commute.

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Peculiar, Missouri and retroactive policymaking

March 19, 2009

Michael Giberson

Retroactive policymaking is all the rage in Washington, D.C., these days, with Congress discovering after the fact that policy made in haste a few months ago needs to be fixed, and now rushing to fix it.

A recent regulatory settlement in Missouri shows the state to be ahead of the game in retroactive policymaking.  A report from Platts has more detail, and much, much more detail is available in the Missouri Public Service Commission (PSC) order of March 18, but in brief the story is:

  • In 2005, Aquila began construction of a 315 MW peaking power plant near Peculiar, Missouri without either county or state PSC permits. Aquila said it believed then existing general permits from the PSC provided it authority to proceed.
  • Cass County and local residents sued.
  • The PSC retroactively awards Aquila a permit for the project.
  • A court overturned the PSC’s retroactive grant of the permit.
  • The Missouri legislature then granted the PSC authority to retroactively approve the project.
  • Cass County and Aquila settled their differences in January 2009.
  • This week the Missouri PSC accepted the settlement.

The episode has not been all hugs and smiles for the folks involved. See, for instance, this news story from the Kansas City Star describing a judge’s email (sent to “several hundred recipients” according to the story) blasting a state legislator for filing a bill last year to, in effect, override the court decisions directing Aquila to dismantle the plant.

Yes, Peculiar really is the name of the nearby town in Cass County, Missouri.

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A few thoughts on the AIG outrage

March 18, 2009

Lynne Kiesling

It’s gotten to the point where I just can’t believe the whole freakin’ thing. My disgust, anger, and cynicism in buckshot form:

Here’s an idea: If you stop nationalizing banks, there will be no need to engage in phony-baloney indignation over bonus payments anymore. …

These same senators who voted to nationalize banks with nary a precondition are also, apparently, stupendously talented actors. After all, most of these senators voted for a bill that contained a provision that specifically protected bonuses that were agreed upon before Feb. 11 in the bank bailout legislation. It was put there by Sen. Chris Dodd (D-Conn.), who is the chairman of the Banking Committee. [although note the correction in the Reason post comments to this contention -ed.]

  • Seriously. There’s no way the members of Congress took the time to read that bailout bill, or the previous ones that they passed under the Bush administration in the fall. They have no one to blame but themselves for their own failure of due diligence. But hey, it’s my money, and your money, and my mother’s money that they’re pissing away, so why bother with this due diligence crap when there’s rent seeking booty to be had?
  • With the federal government owning 80% of AIG, as a taxpayer I want some executives who have institutional memory and experience as well as the financial expertise to unwind the counterparty cluster#$%& that their predecessors created. It’s not the most clear and intellectually satisfying definition of “being paid for performance” … but if the alternative is that a bureaucrat appointed by Barney Frank takes on the work of unwinding AIG’s counterparty contracts, I choose the tainted and fallen financial expert over the government functionary any day.
  • Speaking of Congress … if we think pragmatically about the magnitude of the AIG bonuses relative to the amount of taxpayer money that Congress wastes routinely, year on year, the AIG bonuses are the saline eyedropper going into an ocean. I challenge you all to be as pissed off about that as you are about these bonuses, and to sustain your ire as Congressional waste continues, and to do something about it, as we move forward. Assuming we can dig ourselves out of the debt-lined trench that Congress has bulldozed for us …
  • If I were Edward Liddy, who came out of retirement to become AIG’s CEO in September, is being paid an annual salary of $1 and no performance bonus, and is receiving death threats, I would have pointed out that many members of Congress are lawyers and can interpret the legal status of the contracts into which they have entered on behalf of the American taxpayers, if they had read them. I would then have resigned. If the politicization of this issue leads to individual death threats (not to mention Senator Grassley’s crass reference to Japanese executive suicide), and all of this outrage, how is this a better alternative than just having let them declare bankruptcy, gone through the bankruptcy court, and get on with the reallocation of assets to more productive uses at more realistic asset values?

I did not think it was possible for me to get even more disgusted with politics than I usually am. But apparently it is.

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