Archive for January 18th, 2011

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Evergreen Solar moves manufacturing to China

January 18, 2011

Michael Giberson

In my view most “green jobs” arguments are bunk. While such estimates may have their practical uses, for the most part they are convenient lies. Industry lies to politicians and bureaucrats to get subsidies, and politicians recycle the lies to get votes. My view is not particularly subtle.

Edward Glaeser provides a subtler view, illustrated in his assessment of the most recent “green jobs fiasco” argument. Evergreen Solar recently decided to move its manufacturing plants from Massachusetts to China. Evergreen had received several million dollars in green energy and local economic development subsidies as it grew from an idea to an employer of 800 or so workers, but in the end lower costs (and an offer of still more subsidies from the Chinese government) led it to move manufacturing oversees.  Does this mean subsidies for green jobs don’t work?

Glaeser observes:

The main difficulty with solar energy has always been cost, which is why the falling price of solar panels that seemingly pushed Evergreen to close Devens is actually good news.

As long as solar panels are getting cheaper, we shouldn’t worry about where they are being produced. We should continue financing research on solar technology as long as that research continues to produce cost-cutting breakthroughs, like “string ribbon” technology, but we shouldn’t pretend that cheaper solar energy will end up employing millions of our less-skilled citizens.

And even more to the point:

Massachusetts’s edge lies in ideas, not products. Those ideas are best produced in creative clusters, built around cities, where knowledge moves easily from inventor to entrepreneur. The only production that really needs to occur in greater Boston is the early-stage manufacturing that can be an important part of the research process. Mature companies, like Evergreen Solar, naturally move their factories to lower-cost areas.

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Jay Hancock is not happy with the PJM power market

January 18, 2011

Michael Giberson

From the Baltimore Sun, Jay Hancock explains he is unhappy with electric power restructuring in Maryland and with the PJM market. I think he hits some targets and misses others.

Assessing the particulars would require a lot of detailed work, probably better done by someone other than me. One big source of agreement concerns stranded costs policy; I agree with Hancock that ratepayers were, uh, “not well served” is the polite way to say it, by stranded cost policy. This conclusion is easier to see in retrospect than it was at the time, but large and small consumers were loudly opposed at the time. (Of course stranded cost policy is better seen as one more failing of regulatory policy than as something appropriately pinned onto deregulated markets.  Stranded cost policy was settled the same way as any cost allocation process in the previous nine decades of utility rate regulation: regulators and utility lawyers arguing over what should be done while consumers mostly were relegated to the sidelines. Yet restructuring was the reason stranded cost recovery were called for, so restructuring is implicated in this particular kick-in-the-pants delivered by regulators to consumers.)

ASIDE: It was nice of Hancock to call the American Public Power Association a “beacon of intelligence” and one of the “honest information brokers” around, after all he had been kick-off speaker for an APPA symposium held a few days ago. I tend to see APPA more like other industry trade associations: good on some issues, but primarily interested in defending their own interests. One thing that cuts in APPA’s favor is the diversity of market positions among its members. The balance among members helps to keep the organization’s positions in balance at least on some power market design issues (but for a little residual wishing that they could put select pieces of the restructuring genie back into the bottle from whence it came).

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BPA won’t pay negative prices to get wind power producers to curtail

January 18, 2011

Michael Giberson

At a December 2010 meeting, the federal Bonneville Power Agency announced that it would not pay wind power producers in its area to curtail during overgeneration events that sometimes result from the way the agency manages water flow through hydropower facilities to comply with environmental regulations.

When reservoirs are full, the BPA’s dams can either generate power or spill any excess water. High water conditions common during late spring in the Pacific Northwest sometimes put the BPA up against environmental limits on how much water it can spill, so driving it to want to produce and distribute as much power as possible. (Spilling too much water leads to high concentrations of dissolved gas in the water, a hazard to fish.)  In the past, BPA would essentially give away power in order to maximize power generation, and utilities in the area were happy to take the cheap power and shut down their thermal power plants which were costly to run.

Over the past few years, however, the growth of wind power in the BPA’s area has presented the agency with a new problem. Wind power producers who can obtain from $20 to $40 per MWh in federal and state subsidies while they are producing power don’t want to shut down for nothing. If the BPA wants to curtail them, they’d like to be compensated for their losses. The BPA says it will not pay; in a statement it explains why:

While one possible outcome would be for BPA to compensate wind generators the value of the foregone incentives, BPA does not believe that is an appropriate consequence of actions taken to protect fish. …  Currently, qualifying renewable energy receives PTCs and/or RECs when it generates, and the cost is shared broadly by taxpayers. If BPA were to pay negative prices to comply with ESA and the Clean Water Act during high runoff events, the cost burden would shift and would be narrowly focused on BPA preference customers. We do not think the law was designed to place this cost burden on a narrow class of utility ratepayers, and we are not prepared to initiate this change.

The BPA claims it has sufficient legal authority under existing generator interconnection agreements to implement its new policy of “environmental dispatch,” but to clearly articulate the authority it will unilaterally amend provisions of its standard generation interconnection agreements to reflect the policy.

In areas with RTO/ISO power markets, negative prices are now the conventional way for coordinating resource supplies during periods of potential overgenation (mostly also involving high wind power among other contributing factors).

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