Archive for the ‘Uncategorized’ Category

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Claims by lobbyists that deserve to be laughed at

January 6, 2012

Michael Giberson

Sometimes politicians and lobbyists make claims that deserve to be laughed at in the most public way possible.

Here is an example from the ethanol lobby, via The Hill‘s Congress Blog:

US ethanol makes history by sacrificing a subsidy

By Bob Dinneen, president and CEO, Renewable Fuels Association – 01/05/12 11:26 AM ET

With growing concerns about gridlock in Washington and greed on Wall Street, Americans are wondering whether anyone with a stake in public policies is willing to sacrifice their short-term advantage for a greater good.

Well, someone just did.

Without any opposition from the biofuels sector, the tax credit for ethanol blenders (the Volumetric Ethanol Excise Tax Credit – VEETC) expired on January 1.

In fact, American ethanol may well be the first industry in history that willingly gave up a tax incentive. Facing up to the fiscal crisis in this country, industry advocates have engaged in discussions with the Administration, Congress and our own constituents in an effort to frame forward-looking policies that balance the needs for deficit reduction and the development of clean-burning, American-made motor fuels.

Incentives should help emerging industries to develop and grow, not to be forever subsidized by the nation’s taxpayers. The Volumetric Ethanol Excise Tax Credit — which actually accrued to biofuels blenders, not producers – has helped the renewal fuels industry to stand on its own two feet. So now it is time for this subsidy to be phased out.

But make no mistake: While this subsidy has gone away, American ethanol is here to stay. From the economy to the environment and energy security, ethanol is an American success story.

With more than 200 biorefineries in nearly 30 states, American ethanol directly employs more than 70,000 workers in plants, on farms and at construction companies and suppliers, while indirectly supporting an additional 330,000 jobs. In the midst of more than 8 percent unemployment, the ethanol industry provides high-skill, high-wage jobs that can’t be outsourced, with more than 99% offering healthcare and other benefits. The industry contributes $53 billion to the Gross Domestic Product, raises household incomes by $16 billion and pays $7 billion in federal taxes and $4 billion in state taxes.

Nor are ethanol’s benefits limited to the rural communities where the industry provides jobs for workers, markets for farmers, customers for businesses, and tax dollars for the local schools and police and fire departments. In 2010, the use of 13 billion gallons of ethanol reduced the need for oil imports by 445 million barrels, making our nation less dependent on increasingly unstable regimes in the Middle East. On the environmental front, ethanol use reduces greenhouse gas emissions by 48 to 59 percent, compared to gasoline. At the nation’s gas pumps, blending ethanol with gasoline saved American families an average of $0.89 per gallon in 2010, according to a study conducted by economists at Iowa State University and the University of Wisconsin.

By helping to reduce the federal budget deficit and the nation’s dependency on imported oil, the US ethanol industry is doing its part to address America’s challenges. Meanwhile, the well-established and highly profitable oil industry is still receiving huge subsidies and refusing to give up any.

Having benefited from federal subsidies for the past century, Big Oil rakes in federal tax breaks and other advantages totaling from $3.6 to $4.5 billion a year. Indeed, the Environmental Law Institute recently reported that, from 2002 to 2008, federal subsidies to fossil fuels such as oil and coal totaled approximately $72 billion, compared to only $29 billion in incentives for renewable energy sources, such as solar, wind, geothermal and biofuels.

When it comes to crafting policies that promote fiscal responsibility and energy sustainability, the US ethanol industry has proven that it is willing to come to the table.

But every energy policy must be on the table.

From coal to hydroelectric, nuclear, wind, solar and geothermal energy, virtually every source of energy has been subsidized in its early years. But there is no reason for established industries, such as Big Oil, to enjoy eternal subsidies for almost a century.

What’s needed, instead, are timely, targeted, and temporary subsidies so that new energy sources  can be developed, commercialized and allowed to compete on a level playing field with established energy sources. That is why the biofuels industry is seeking opportunities to accelerate the development of new ethanol feedstocks, such as switch grass, wood wastes and even garbage, while modernizing the nation’s fueling infrastructure through blender pumps.

Now that the ethanol blenders’ tax credit has become history, let’s make history by incentivizing America’s energy future, not providing perpetual subsidies for fossil fuels.

 ** Bob Dinneen is the president and CEO of the Renewable Fuels Association, the national trade association of the US ethanol industry. **

You be the judge: A great moment in the history of U.S. public policy, or laughable nonsense?

Well, to be fair, not everything Dinneen says is laughable nonsense, for example he truthfully points out that the tax credit for ethanol blenders expired on January 1. Most of the rest of it is hilariously weak.

Note the related post from a few days ago: “Ethanol industry allows its politicians to permit expiration of its tax credit and tariff.”

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Holiday wishes for you

December 25, 2011

Lynne Kiesling

I offer you my best holiday wishes. What I wish for you, indeed for all of us, in this holiday season and into 2012 and beyond, is a life rich in liberty, toleration, peace, and good will.

And, in the spirit of my friend Sarah’s wise invocation for us to light our candles to beat back the dark that surrounds us now, I offer you this candle. Happy holidays.

 

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Holiday music encore

December 23, 2011

Lynne Kiesling

As a quick follow-up on my earlier post on music, harmony, and social cooperation, here’s a lovely video of Stile Antico singing Palestrina’s Assumpta est Maria:

And, since we attended the Chicago Symphony’s Welcome Yule concert last night and it was lovely, here’s a snippet of Handel’s Messiah, from the choir of New College, Oxford:

And here’s Cantata V from Bach’s Christmas Oratorio to round out the Renaissance-Baroque experience:

I hope music brings you joy this season, and in all seasons!

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How the Grinch stole the free market

December 22, 2011

Lynne Kiesling

An excellent holiday present for us all, from my friend Sarah: a free-market take on the classic Grinch tale. A taste of its poetic deliciousness to entice you to click through and read the whole poem:

Then he walked right inside. Didn’t ring, didn’t knock.
(Property rights are respected by folks who read Locke.)
Then he slithered and slunk, that legislation-mad demon,
Around the whole room, and he took every freedom!
Cigars! Motorcycles! The schools! And their guns!
Freedom to travel! He took every one
And he made regulations
to stop them all. (Grinches adore legislation.)

Then he slunk to the icebox. He took the trans-fat!
He took the raw milk! And the sauerkraut vat!
He cleaned out the fridge; took their bathtub-brewed booze.
Why, that Grinch even took their last freedom to choose!

Love, love, love.

 

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Happy holidays, traveling Grandma!

December 21, 2011

Lynne Kiesling

Happy holidays! If you are traveling by air this week to share the holidays with family, you have my sympathy … on the TSA front, not on the family front (but some of you may be dreading that too …). Whether you are subjecting yourself to the TSA’s invasiveness this holiday season or not, you’ll laugh wryly at this Reason.tv/Remy collaboration:

“In seasons past, Grandma only had to worry about getting run over by a reindeer. With “Grandma Got Run Over by TSA,” web sensation Remy gets us in the holiday mood with a song about Christmas, Homeland Security, and the joys of civil rights abuses.”

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Superficial journalism, GPS watch edition

December 21, 2011

Lynne Kiesling

When I read Gina Kolata’s New York Times article on the inaccuracy of GPS watches, I was not impressed with her journalism and her analysis. Her main theme was that we spend all of this money on GPS watches to record our training, and they aren’t even accurate. Her example:

On Sunday, I tried a little experiment with friends who also have GPS watches. I started from my house, and Jen Davis and Martin Strauss started from her house; we met up along the way.

My route was 15.96 miles, according to Google Maps. My watch said it was 15.54. Jen’s watch, an older model, did much better. Her route was 19.1 miles. Her watch said 19.02.

First, it’s impossible to interpret her two data points because she indicates nothing about the age of the devices, the brand, the software version, and so on. All GPS devices are different, and she does her readers a disservice by glossing over those details and by not informing them of the changes in GPS accuracy as the hardware and software have advanced over the past decade. Second, her device performed at 97.38% accuracy and her friend’s at 99.58% accuracy. What do they expect, 100%? You don’t have to be a statistically-literate scientist or social scientist to have a realistic expectation that anything north of 95% accuracy is acceptable. Even a Type A data-centric recreational athlete should not have expectations of 100% accuracy!

You may have read this same article because Glenn Reynolds linked to it at Instapundit. Unfortunately, I don’t think he reflected critically enough on the article.

For a more thorough analysis of GPS devices, and a thorough debunking of Kolata’s article, I recommend the DC Rainmaker blog. Ray is famous in multisport athlete circles for his thorough, detailed reviews of training devices and their performance. He argues that Kolata missed the boat in her conclusion that GPS devices are unreliable training partners. His critique focuses on two essential facts to remember when using a GPS device. First, as I alluded to above, not all hardware/software are the same, and software updates can improve accuracy:

In the world of GPS watches, the reality is that not all devices are created equal.  As I’ve shown before in four posts of accuracy tests, some units do simply perform better than others.  Sometimes that is correlated to price, and other times it’s tied to the GPS chipset used and/or the firmware.  To base the entire article (and all GPS watches in general) on what appears to be a single watch on a single run being off seems a bit of a stretch.  For example, when the Timex Global Trainer first came out, there were indeed accuracy issues with it.  On average, it was 2.5% off (short) – was her watch a Global Trainer?  Or perhaps, it was an original Garmin FR610 – which also had issues early on with some routes showing about 2% short.  Yet, both have been fixed by their respective companies (June for the FR610, August for the Global Trainer).

I found it strange that the author didn’t note the brand, nor contact them for an official reason, explanation, or PR response.  Isn’t that the most basic journalistic thing to do?

In my mind, this is no different than saying “cars are unreliable”, because your particular car is in the mechanics shop.  As in fact the author noted, her friends route was just about spot on, within .08 miles after 19 miles – or 99.58% accurate.

Second, and this is interesting, the Kolata article focuses on complaints that race directors get after races from runners when their GPS distances do not match the stated distance of the race. But Ray points out that you can get mismatch if you take corners wide in the race:

As I’ve gone into in (probably painful) detail in the past, when you’re running a big race with lots of folks, you usually end up running quite a few corners wide.  And those corners add up.  Remember that races are measured according to USATF standards and certified non-GPS devices, which require that the measuring person take the absolute shortest possible route during the measurement, right up to the edge of the curb.  That’s not how the vast majority of folks run their races though.  Instead, most folks are forced into much wider paths, often with swerving around other runners.  Every time you swerve around a runner – you’ve probably added 5-10 feet to your path.

He also looks at some race results that suggest that faster runners end up running more accurate distances, in large part because they are running with fewer people and less congestion, and thus do not have to take corners wide to avoid other runners as much.

In my own experience, GPS accuracy has gotten better over the 5 years that I’ve trained with a GPS device. I currently use a Garmin Forerunner 610, and for reasons I won’t bore you with, when I ride my road bike I use it as well as a CycleOps non-GPS computer that is paired with my PowerTap. Both devices generally yield distance estimates within 2% of each other.

Thus, if you are considering a GPS device and the Kolata article made you think again, I would not give her article much credence, because I don’t think she really understands the technology space or the importance of the details involved — an example of very superficial journalism. Instead, bookmark DC Rainmaker and use his detailed reviews to guide your purchases.

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Natural gas is too cheap and too plentiful

December 2, 2011

Michael Giberson

Russel Smith thinks we should use government power to limit natural gas production in order to boost gas prices. Why? Because he is the executive director of the Texas Renewable Energy Industries Association and cheap and plentiful gas is cutting into the business opportunities of renewable energy companies.

“The price is so low, there’s so much being produced, and it’s perverting the effort to move renewables into the marketplace,” he said.

He continued:

With the addition of shale gas to the marketplace and continuing low gas and power prices, Smith said renewables have been unable to gain the traction that was anticipated a few years ago.

“Because prices are so low, the momentum to bring large-scale solar and wind, especially solar, to the market has been somewhat stymied,” he said. “The differential in the price of natural gas and solar wasn’t there five years ago as momentum was building.”

The article said Smith initially suggested the idea of regulating gas production to spark discussion during a conference panel. (Reminds me of the Adam Smith quote on business gatherings: “People of the same trade seldom meet together, even for merriment and diversion, but the conversation ends in a conspiracy against the public, or in some contrivance to raise prices.”)

If he can’t convince regulators to limit gas production, Russel Smith suggested that government could do more to boost demand for natural gas: exports, LNG for long-distance trucking, anything that might help boost the price of the competition. Such moves would, said Smith, “improve the situation for natural gas and everyone else.”

Not quite everyone else, right?

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Cute boots!

November 29, 2011

Lynne Kiesling

I haven’t written about shoes in a long time (sorry Manolo!), in large part because my aging, athlete feet can’t tolerate cute shoes to the degree that they used to. My shoe wardrobe vascillates among low-heeled boots, Converse sneakers (with my orthotics in them), and sandals with heel straps and orthopedic footbeds. I try desperately not to descend into frumpy footwear, but the range of footwear styles that I have has narrowed a lot. Grrr. But I still have my love of cowboy boots, although I mix them up with other boots because my Lucchese boots have a narrower toe box than I can tolerate on a daily basis.

So imagine my aesthetic joy, with a tinge of envy, when I saw the boots that Angus is getting Mrs. Angus for Christmas:

 

RAWR. WANT. I need another pair of boots like a hole in my head, but what a gorgeous green, and great stitching. WANT. Mrs. Angus is a lucky woman.

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Happy Thanksgiving

November 27, 2011

Lynne Kiesling

Yesterday the KP Spouse and I drove the 11 hours home from Thanksgiving at his mother’s in Maryland. 11 hours each way (I drove out a week early for the Southern Economic Association meetings) is a small price to pay for avoiding the rudeness, indignity, invasiveness, and civil liberties violations associated with air travel in the U.S. I used to be a 50K+/year flyer, and in 2011 I committed to flying as little as possible. I have succeeded; I had one international flight in July and will have one flight to Hawaii in December for a vacation that I promised to the KP Spouse.

One reason why driving has been so enjoyable during my airline/TSA boycott has been the new car we got in March:

It’s a 2011 Mini Cooper S Countryman, 4 door, 4 cylinder 186 hp turbo engine, front wheel drive, and it’s an incredibly fun car to drive! It’s also the cutest car I’ve ever owned, and is well designed to carry all of the gear for two avid athletes. It’s got a more muscular look than the 2-door Mini, but is still a Mini through and through, except for the BMW engineering on the inside (and the BMW X1 chassis that is the basis for the body). This is definitely a performance vehicle, with a stiff ride and an efficient but larger engine, so we made the tradeoff of slightly worse fuel economy (25.9 mpg so far) relative to our old Honda Civic. So far we’ve had no mechanical difficulties whatsoever with the car, and really, really love it.

I am thankful for the creativity and innovation that led to a car that gives me so much joy while enabling me to spend the Thanksgiving holiday with my beloved husband and in-laws without having to endure the invasiveness and indignity of the TSA.

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Monsters of Grok t-shirts

October 24, 2011

Lynne Kiesling

Here’s some outstanding geek attire! Monsters of Grok is a line of t-shirts that use rock band t-shirt logo designs, but the names are instead famous scientists and intellectuals such as Ada Lovelace (done as a Ladytron logo), Isaac Newton (as Iron Maiden), and Benjamin Franklin (as Black Flag). I fell over laughing when I first saw these, literally hyperventilating and weeping. Guess that makes me a geek rocker …

Today, to make myself feel better for having such a nasty ear infection (with gratitude to those of you who have sent get well wishes!), I finally broke down and purchased two of them. The first one’s easy to guess if you’re a regular KP reader, the second one is a little more tricky as there were several contenders. If you guess them both you get a gold star!

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