Posts Tagged ‘health care’

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What market design can do for you

September 30, 2010

Michael Giberson

Medicare pays medical equipment suppliers based on indexed-adjustments to a price list established 25 years ago. It is extremely unlikely that these prices are efficient. For the past 10 years Medicare has explored the possibility of pricing medical equipment via procurement auctions. Their procurement auction plan is fatally flawed.

What can market design do for you? Market design – that branch of economics that seeks to apply economic understanding to the task of creating or repairing markets – helps explain why the Medicare procurement plan will work badly and what can be done to enable it to work well.

At Freakonomics, Ian Ayres presents an op-ed co-written with Peter Cramton, “Fix Medicare’s Bizarre Auction Program,” that lays out two of the fatal flaws with the Medicare auction plan. The op-ed links to a brief analysis by Cramton and Brett Katzman of the issue.

(An overview prepared by staff of the U.S. House Energy and Commerce subcommittee describes the background and current state of Medicare’s payment system. Perhaps surprisingly, even the fatally flawed procurement auctions have produced cost savings of up to 56 percent on certain medical supplies, but that is more a measure of how bad the current method is rather than a recommendation of the proposed procurement auction.)

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Levitt and Becker on health care

April 15, 2010

Lynne Kiesling

I noticed recently that Steve Levitt opined briefly on the health care bill in ways that are consistent with my earlier argument that unless Congress tackled the third-party payer problem head on they would be wasting our time and money. In his Freakonomics post, Levitt recommends Gary Becker’s analysis to us:

In Becker’s opinion, the health care bill that passed recently is a disaster for at least two reasons.  First, it seems to do little or nothing to deal with the single most important shortcoming of our current system: the fact that people pay very little on the margin for the medical care that they receive.  Imagine that you could show up at a car dealership and have any car you wanted, and as many cars as you wanted, for no marginal cost.  The market for cars would be in complete chaos, and people would have too many cars, and the ones they had would be too nice.

That is more or less the situation we now have with health care.

I second Levitt’s recommendation; Becker’s post provides a thoughtful and careful analysis of the likely unintended consequences of the health care bill, most of them reducing economic welfare. Becker also focuses on the third-party payer problem:

For the most part, however, the bill increases our dependence on employer-based health care by imposing sizable penalties on companies that do not provide their employees with sufficient health insurance. Many companies are already beginning to add to their projected future costs the anticipated increase in the cost to them of insuring their employees. These changes will particularly affect the costs of smaller companies since they are the main ones that do not provide health insurance for their employees. Since smaller companies are responsible for a disproportionate share of additions to employment during recent years, this provision of the bill will tend to reduce the demand for workers and hourly wages.

The US health care market is over-regulated rather than under-regulated. One example is that families in one state are generally not allowed to buy their health insurance from companies located in other states. Another example is the mandates that states impose on insurance companies, such as coverage of the costs of normal birth deliveries. Such coverage has little to do with insurance against unexpected health costs, whereas coverage of extraordinary delivery costs is a desirable protection against unexpected health care risks. The bill generally pushes in the direct of greater regulation, such as the limitations imposed on how much health insurance companies can spend on administrative costs relative to their other costs, the mandated reviews of the premiums charged by health insurance companies, and the mandated provision of health insurance by small companies.

My conclusion matches Levitt’s too: “Ultimately, it is hard to believe that this bill will be a net positive.  It remains to be seen whether it will be a wash, or far worse.”

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Health care: end third-party payer, or stop wasting my time and money

March 1, 2010

Lynne Kiesling

I continue to be thoroughly disgusted by the disingenuousness of the health care policy debate in Washington. From a public choice perspective I understand why the debate continues to focus on what I think are the tangential and ancillary questions, and the attempts to tweak and improvise around the edges … but my opinion long has been, and continues to be,

Unless and until we change the differential tax treatment of employer-funded health insurance and remove the third-party payer incentive problems embedded in it, we will have no meaningful change in health care costs or affordability.

Therefore, all of the time and resources that Congress and the administration are pouring into forcing a health care bill are just wasting my tax money and the time and effort of my elected representatives. What they are doing right now is expensive and wasteful wheel-spinning, well deserving of the name “political theater”.

Arnold Kling made a related point on Thursday:

There are two ways to approach reducing the use of high-cost, low-benefit procedures. You can have the government tell people what they can and cannot have. Or you can have individuals pay for a larger fraction of the medical procedures that they consume. It really comes down to those choices.

Advocating either one of those is political suicide, and talking about anything else is a waste of time. The Democrats will not advocate government rationing, and the Republicans will not advocate scrapping most of our current system of third-party payment in medicine. Instead, the summit, like the entire “health reform debate” this year, will be a waste of time.

I do, though, think that Arnold is being too generous when he gives the health care summit participants grades ranging from D+ to F-. They are wasting our time and money by refusing to confront and address the core incentive problem, which is the staggeringly distortionary and inefficient coupling of employment and health insurance.

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So are you fed up yet? I am

December 30, 2009

Lynne Kiesling

Another reason I’ve been staying away from the computer over the holidays is that between the Senate health care bill process, the futilely constructivist quest for government policy to stimulate the economy, proposals for financial regulation, and the craven stupidity of TSA policy proposals after the Christmas day bomb failure, I am fed up and disgusted with pretty much everything having to do with economic policy.

Of course, the frustrating thing with all of these issues is that I am so fed up and annoyed and disgusted, but feel so powerless. It’s not enough to call my so-called elected representatives and tell a staffer that I am fed up and disgusted. Democratic politics is so soul-sucking in this way that I am focusing my mental and emotional energy on the areas where I can find meaning and can see a difference due to my efforts. Sadly, though, I do feel like I’m fiddling while the republic is burning around me.

One meme has recurred in my reading over the past couple of days, particularly at Bruce Schneier’s blog where he discussed the Christmas bomb attempt, Christopher Hitchens on the TSA and how good we are at collective punishment of the innocent, and Bruce Schneier talking with Jeffrey Goldberg at the Atlantic: it’s increasingly hard to escape the feeling of being terrorized by our own government. And not just at the airport.

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Melissa Thomasson on This American Life on health insurance

October 28, 2009

Lynne Kiesling

The NPR Planet Money folks do a great job of communicating complicated economic ideas with more nuance and sophistication than any other media folks around. The most recent episode of This American Life is an outstanding example:

392: Someone Else’s Money

This week, we bring you a deeper look inside the health insurance industry. The dark side of prescription drug coupons. A story about Pet Health Insurance, which is in its infancy, and how it is changing human behaviors—for example, if you have the pet health insurance, you bring your pet to the vet more often, and the vet makes more money and…well, you can see the parallels. And insurance company jargon, frighteningly decoded.

Overall it was a very good analysis of various aspects of health insurance. In particular, in Act 2 they interviewed Melissa Thomasson, an economic historian who teaches at my alma mater (yay!), and who is the foremost expert on the history of the health care and health insurance industries in the 20th century. Even if you don’t listen to the rest of the show, Melissa’s contribution is more than worth your time and attention; she explains the evolution of employer-provided health insurance more clearly than I’ve ever heard anyone do before. Both Melissa and the hosts draw the conclusion, with which I agree, that employer-provided health insurance is, at best, “questionable”. It’s an absolute must-listen.

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Choice and competition protect consumers of healthcare … and electricity

September 10, 2009

Lynne Kiesling

Matt Welch does a sharp and thorough textual exegesis of parts of President Obama’s speech to Congress on healthcare (health care?) last night, in his article on the accusations of lying that are flying around Washington these days.

Matt’s final paragraph struck me, not just because I think he (and President Obama, in this case) is accurate when he makes this argument about health care:

There was one line in the speech last night that pointed to an alternative, more promising future: “My guiding principle,” Obama said, “is, and always has been, that consumers do better when there is choice and competition.” Unfortunately, the president evinces zero understanding of how increased regulation can reduce consumer choice, even or especially when the government joins the competition. And even if he did see the connection, we’d have good reason to suspect that he wouldn’t talk about it openly with the American people. That, ultimately, worries me more than a senior citizen who wants to keep the government out of Medicare.

Sadly, I think Matt is right with respect to the realpolitik of health care politics. But let’s focus on President Obama’s statement:

“My guiding principle,” Obama said, “is, and always has been, that consumers do better when there is choice and competition.”

This is my guiding principle too. If we can follow through on that principle, then health care policy will focus on doing things like removing the asymmetric tax treatment of employer-provided health insurance, and removing the barriers to insurance contracts across state boundaries. At its core the problems of health care policy are those of obsolete regulatory institutions.

But let’s also apply it to other areas in our lives that have obsolete regulatory institutions. Gee, hmmm, can we think of any of those … ? How about retail electricity regulation? Removing entry barriers and asymmetric legal treatments of potential retail competitors would start us down the road of choice and competition. Choice and competition trump monopoly and control every time … unless you are the monopolist with the government-granted entry barrier.

Let’s apply President Obama’s guiding principle that consumers do better when there is choice and competition to retail electricity markets. And health care.

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Health care policy, individual consumption portfolios, and liberty

July 8, 2009

Lynne Kiesling

Two posts I’ve read this morning about health care resonate for me in combination. The first was Russ Roberts’ discussion of his conversation with a new Walmart employee about wages and benefits, where he notes that

I didn’t get to ask her if she had health care coverage at either job. But the conversation reminds me that people prefer different mixes of cash, retirement, health care and so on.

Which is why the political pressure and the threat of coercion that lead to this kind of result [Walmart's support of an employer health care mandate -ed.] is so dangerous and harmful to human beings and other living things.

Diverse, heterogeneous individuals with their own private, subjective preferences over their consumption, saving, investment portfolio mixes.

On a related note, Doug Bandow writes at Cato @ Liberty about Uwe Reinhardt on health care. Commenting on criticisms of government-provided health care’s rationing of services, Reinhardt points out that rationing is a fundamental function of markets too. He’s technically correct, from a static neoclassical perspective — given a set of resources and unlimited wants, our budget constraints necessitate rationing, and in markets price signals interact with our subjective individual preferences to enable us to allocate our resources optimally.

But Doug makes a deeper point that often gets lost in the technocracy of health care policy:

But Reinhardt leaves liberty out of the equation.  The health care system is a mess, largely because of perverse government incentives through its big health care programs, Medicare and Medicaid, and its tax break for employer-provided insurance.   As a result, we now have a third party payment-dominated system which simultaneously encourages excessive spending and pushes insurers and providers to decide how to “ration” (i.e., limit) care.

What people need is a medical system that allows them to make the basic rationing decisions:  what kind of insurance to buy, what kind of coverage to choose, what kind of trade-offs to make between spending on medicine and spending on other goods and services.

Such decisions are complex and people with little means will need assistance.  But the specific “rationing” decisions–i.e., the inevitable trade-offs–vary dramatically by individual and family preference and circumstance.  Even today’s system allows many people some choice between plans and providers.  The rise in consumer-directed care is a positive development which is expanding the choices available to Americans.

Put another way, and from a Hayekian perspective, who is doing the rationing matters. With government mandates, bureaucrats do the rationing. With a market for health insurance and health care services, individuals do the rationing. Apply the knowledge problem here as Hayek did to the failure of central planning, and you see the analogy that I think is apt.

Just as individual planning generates superior static and dynamic outcomes relative to central planning, individual rationing generates superior static and dynamic outcomes relative to central rationing, because of the knowledge problem and heterogenous agents with diverse preferences and private knowledge of their own preferences. It also honors the precepts of individual liberty.

UPDATED to add the link to Russ’ original post, sorry about that!

UDPATE2: This excellent Ron Bailey post at Reason’s Hit & Run complements my above argument, and includes a link to Shikha Dalmia’s thorough exposure of the fallacies in the current health care policy debate.

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Health care policy

June 2, 2009

Lynne Kiesling

We don’t write much about health care economics here, but in many respects it does raise some of the same issues that I find fascinating in electricity, telecom, and technology industries. David Zetland has a good post today about how third-party payer health care rules lead to cost increases and overconsumption of health care. I heartily endorse his conclusion:

My main suggestion on medical care is that we cut out the employer. The employer will instead transfer insurance payment money to employees, who are then required to buy insurance.* The patient can buy high or low deductible insurance.** …

Bottom Line: Incentives matter, even with incomplete and asymmetric information. The way to improve your health care is by putting you in charge of it.

[You'll have to click through to his post to see what his asterisks signify :-) ...] I could say the same about electricity consumption, information technology, and dynamic pricing — the way to improve your value for money from electricity consumption is by enabling you to make the decisions, not leaving the decisions in the hands of regulators or a regulated utility in the form of regulated pricing.

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