Posts Tagged ‘LNG’

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Another note on natural gas supply in the US

June 15, 2009

Michael Giberson

Kristen Hays reports on the current natural gas supply conditions in the Houston Chronicle: rig counts down, production remains strong, and natural gas in storage is increasing. The US Department of Energy predicts natural gas consumption will fall 2.2 percent this year and grow slightly in 2010.

While drilling rigs are being shut down, as one analyst observed, when times are hard you shut down the marginal plays first and hang on to the most promising locations. That logic is one reason that production remains strong.

ALSO in the Houston Chronicle, Rob Bradley, Jr. praises ExxonMobil’s strategy of focusing on oil and gas and staying out of renewable energy, despite the call of dissident shareholders who want the company to branch out. Last fall the New York Times ran a profile of Exxon that highlighted this aspect of the company’s strategy and noted the company’s reputation as one of the world’s best managed large companies.

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LNG possibilities keeping natural gas prices down in U.S.

May 23, 2009

Michael Giberson

“Our feeling is that natural gas prices have some challenges because of the LNG that may be coming this way due to our storage capability in the United States and the reduced industrial demand overseas,” Hackett said…

Gas futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange have dropped about 30 percent this year, compared with oil’s 33 percent increase.

From a brief story reporting Anadarko Petroleum CEO James Hackett’s assessment of conditions in the natural gas market.

Trends noted earlier here (see LNG and the future of natural gas prices in the U.S.) appear to be continuing.

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LNG and the future of natural gas prices in the U.S.

February 27, 2009

Michael Giberson

Domestic U.S. production of natural gas is up. Macroeconomic factors are reducing demand for natural gas. And yet, as Fereidoon Sioshansi points out:

The real surprise is that despite the declining need for imported LNG, the US may end up on the receiving end of much of the global excess production and transportation capacity because of its massive storage.

See the linked article by Sioshansi, from the March 2009 EEnergy Informer, for more explanation. Possibly collaborating evidence comes from the EIA; the most recent Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report shows working gas in storage to be 199 Bcf above the 5-year average of 1,696 Bcf.

So natural gas in the United States may be in for another long stretch of low prices. Bad news for producers, of course, but good for natural gas consumers.

Also good news for electric power consumers since natural-gas fired generation frequently sets the market price for electric power in those parts of the country featuring competitive wholesale markets. Fuel adjustment clauses or more cumbersome regulatory procedures will also, eventually, bring lower power prices to regions that remain dedicated to the old vertically-integrated-regulated-monopoly approach to providing electricity.

HT to Cheryl Morgan at MorganEnergy.

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