More On Clarity In Discussing Probability

Lynne Kiesling I am posting this comment for Robert Schwartz, who for some reason was unable to get through the spam filter. Lynne: You were not alone in your reading of the Judge’s statement. I, also, was flummoxed and commented at the esteemed Becker Posner Blog: http://www.becker-posner-blog.com/archives/2005/01/the_tsunami_and.html#commentsMore More On Clarity In Discussing Probability

Explaining Reactive Power

Lynne Kiesling This conversation raises a challenging point, one that I struggle with constantly — how do we communicate complex technical issues to people who have little or no background knowledge of the subject? Probabilistic issues are a constant source of this challenge. For what I’m working on right now, the primary challenge is in … More Explaining Reactive PowerMore Explaining Reactive Power

The Math Behind The “Once In A Century” Statement

Lynne Kiesling Robert Ayres has very kindly done the math to show why Posner’s statement in the WSJ that I referred to on Tuesday is correct, but agrees with me that he could have said it better. From the email he sent me: If his “later” means “later in the century”, then the question is … More The Math Behind The “Once In A Century” StatementMore The Math Behind The “Once In A Century” Statement

Shovelin’ in a Winter Wonderland

Lynne Kiesling About a foot of snow over the past 30 hours. Here’s how the KP street looked at 7AM after we finished our shoveling: I used the “landscape” setting on my camera, which doesn’t seem to do too well with focus. But you get the point; it’s gorgeous here! In making what I thought … More Shovelin’ in a Winter WonderlandMore Shovelin’ in a Winter Wonderland