A Prediction Market: Will Ronaldo Still Play for Manu Next Season?

Lynne Kiesling

I’ve made my first foray into prediction markets, at Inkling. The market is Will Ronaldo Still Play for Manchester United Next Season? I was looking for such a contract at TradeSports, but no such contract exists, so I made my own.

The Telegraph reports gossip from tabloid newspapers that includes a claim that Ronaldo says he’ll never go back to ManU. Even so, the folks who have bid in my market seem to think otherwise.

So there’s some money to be made here, folks! Go sign up at Inkling and buy some shares in my market! I know what I think will happen, but I’m not allowed to trade shares in my own market (no insider trading). So it’s up to you …

2 thoughts on “A Prediction Market: Will Ronaldo Still Play for Manu Next Season?”

  1. Great market! Factors:

    1) Ronaldo is being accused or drawing Rooney’s read card, hence costing England a shot in the WC

    2) Real Madrid playing terrible last year

    3) Real Madrid getting a new coach today

    4) Zidan retiring from Real

    4) Ronaldo being to much of a winer for an already winning star-studded Real.

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