Author name: Michael Giberson

How Do You Know if a Prediction Market is Any Good?

Michael Giberson If you have a long political memory — say going back about two weeks, which now seems like ages ago — you might remember the furor over the “failure” of polls and prediction markets when Hillary Clinton won the New Hampshire Democratic primary. Prediction markets, the boastful new kid on the block, were …

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What Institutional Framework for Electric Power Transmission?

Michael Giberson From the EU Energy Policy Blog, Thomas-Olivier Léautier contemplates the factors that contribute to efficient investment and management of transmission systems: As power engineers and economists have known for a long-time, the transmission grid is essential to the operation of well-functioning electric power markets. Yet, grid expansion in several regions has been nil …

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Market Power in Maryland Power, and Other Economics Stories in the News

Michael Giberson Columnist Jay Hancock of the Baltimore Sun takes note of a complaint filed at FERC by the Maryland Public Service Commission that alleges local market power in PJM’s wholesale power market added $87.5 million to energy costs in the state. Hancock provides a link to the complaint at FERC for the curious. Also …

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Yes, This is Real Congestion Pricing for Airports*

Michael Giberson *Well, almost real congestion pricing. It may not be the real thing, but it is a reasonable facsimile and a step in the right direction. It is not quite the real thing, because, as I observed last time, the FAA “will not allow airport authorities to charge prices sufficient to balance demand with …

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Congestion Fees Coming to Airports?

Michael Giberson The Federal Aviation Administration is proposing to change its policy toward landing fees to “provide greater flexibility to operators of congested airports to use landing fees to provide incentives to air carriers to use the airport at less congested times or to use alternate airports to meet regional air service needs.” As explained …

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Regulation of Networks when Networks Cross Political Borders

Michael Giberson The New Jersey experience illustrates one other key insight into regulation of a network. In a network industry such as electricity, where the network extends across state lines, it is possible for one state to exert significance externalities on others. The siting of transmission lines or an electricity generator in one state can …

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Package Bidding Auction Design for the Fcc’s Upcoming 700 Mhz Spectrum Auction

Michael Giberson I was wrong a few weeks ago when I wrote, “While the FCC has sponsored research and considered deployment [of package bidding and combinatorial auctions], so far they have been dissuaded by the complexity of the auction design and opposition from commenters.” The FCC has tried package bidding once before, in 2003, when …

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At the Intersection of Prediction Markets and Basketball Tournaments

Michael Giberson The NCAA basketball season is well underway, and soon enough March Madness will be here. Do you have your brackets worked out yet? Last year while working out a few thoughts on arbitrage opportunities in basketball tournament prediction markets at Inkling, it occurred to me that the Inkling pricing mechanism was just a …

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