Politics

How Do You Know if a Prediction Market is Any Good?

Michael Giberson If you have a long political memory — say going back about two weeks, which now seems like ages ago — you might remember the furor over the “failure” of polls and prediction markets when Hillary Clinton won the New Hampshire Democratic primary. Prediction markets, the boastful new kid on the block, were …

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Market Power in Maryland Power, and Other Economics Stories in the News

Michael Giberson Columnist Jay Hancock of the Baltimore Sun takes note of a complaint filed at FERC by the Maryland Public Service Commission that alleges local market power in PJM’s wholesale power market added $87.5 million to energy costs in the state. Hancock provides a link to the complaint at FERC for the curious. Also …

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Yes, This is Real Congestion Pricing for Airports*

Michael Giberson *Well, almost real congestion pricing. It may not be the real thing, but it is a reasonable facsimile and a step in the right direction. It is not quite the real thing, because, as I observed last time, the FAA “will not allow airport authorities to charge prices sufficient to balance demand with …

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Regulation of Networks when Networks Cross Political Borders

Michael Giberson The New Jersey experience illustrates one other key insight into regulation of a network. In a network industry such as electricity, where the network extends across state lines, it is possible for one state to exert significance externalities on others. The siting of transmission lines or an electricity generator in one state can …

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Presidential Candidates Through the Lens of Wodehouse

Lynne Kiesling I am studiously trying to ignore the presidential season, but Alex Massie’s Wodehouse-ian gloss on Hillary Clinton (and, tangentially, Mike Huckabee at the end) really made me laugh, and has enough of a grain of truth in it to be insightful. In my sourer moments I find myself persuaded that Bertie Wooster’s verdict …

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Justin Wolfers Writing on Prediction Markets and the Presidential Campaign for the Wsj

Michael Giberson A prediction market is a bit like the stock market, except that you are buying shares whose value depends on the success of a political candidate, rather than the profits earned by a corporation. And just as stock prices are a useful barometer of the health of a company, so too the price …

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Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007: Random Observations from Cafe to Smart Grids to Pool and Spa Safety

Michael Giberson At Common Tragedies, Rich Sweeney observed that “Pool and spa safety makes it into the energy bill,” but “renewable portfolio standards and increased oil taxes didn’t.” According to the preamble of the proposed “Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007,” it is intended (among other things) to “move the United States toward greater …

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Paging Dr. Tabarrok: Off the Fast Track at the Fda

Michael Giberson When I read about this news story about the FDA from the Cleveland Plain Dealer, I immediately thought of (FDA critic) Alex Tabarrok. Googling “FDA Tabarrok fast track” brought me to “Regulatory Overdose” at Forbes: But George Mason University economist Alexander Tabarrok has a different idea: Abolish FDA-required efficacy testing altogether. Such testing …

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Alaska Gas Pipeline: Will the Alaska Gasline Inducement Act Get Construction Started?

Michael Giberson Last Friday, the State of Alaska received five proposals in response to a Alaska Gasline Inducement Act deadline to build a natural gas pipeline from the North Slope into Canadian and American markets. The applicants are Alaska Gasline Port Authority, AEnergia LLC, TransCanada, Sinopec ZPEB and Alaska Natural Gasline Development Authority. If the …

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