Power Demand in Texas Grows More Slowly Than Forecasted

From StateImpact Texas, a joint effort of radio station KUT Austin and KUHF Houston, a report that consumption of electric power in Texas isn’t growing as fast as expected: As the Texas Public Utility Commission (PUC) considers changing the electricity market so there‚Äôs more money to build new power plants, a mystery has popped up: … More Power Demand in Texas Grows More Slowly Than Forecasted

“The U.S. Current Natural Gas Situation”

Michael Giberson What do changes in the domestic U.S. natural gas market have to tell us about the world oil market? Hirsch, Bezdek, and Wendling wrote, “The North American natural gas situation provides some useful lessons relevant to the peaking of conventional world oil production.” Here is their assessment of the North American natural gas … More “The U.S. Current Natural Gas Situation”

Looking for a Good Forecast?

Michael Giberson Philip Tetlock – the expert on political expertise – reviews three books on political forecasting for The National Interest, but the problem of selecting a good forecast equally applies in commerce: Reading these three books, it is easy to feel like a frustrated shopper wandering aimlessly down the forecasting aisle in the supermarket … More Looking for a Good Forecast?