Posts Tagged ‘subsidy’

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What about electric bikes? and regular bikes? and can I get a pony?

February 9, 2011

Michael Giberson

President Obama’s budget request will call on Congress to pass legislation offering consumers a rebate of as much as $7,500 for purchasing electric vehicles.

The rebate plan is part of a three-part proposal outlined by the Department of Energy Tuesday that will be included in Obama’s budget request, slated to be released Monday. The proposal is designed to reach Obama’s goal of putting 1 million electric vehicles on the road by 2015.

The electric vehicles rebate proposal is modeled after the successful “cash-for-clunkers” program, which gave consumers rebates for exchanging older vehicles for more fuel-efficient ones.

From The Hill‘s E2 Wire blog.

Four reactions:

1. Which “cash-for-clunkers” program was the successful one? They can’t be talking about this one, can they?

2. Does “electric vehicles” include electric motorcycles and electric bikes, too? How about a golf cart so I can tool around the neighborhood like some of my neighbors do?  And if electric vehicles can get a subsidy, why not non-electric bike purchasers?

3. Is this a plan to do something about local air pollution problems, so the rebates targeted to areas with local air pollution problems? Or are we going to squander taxpayer money wherever consumers want to put their electric vehicles, whether there are any local air pollution problems or not?

4. Also, I want a pony.

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First, kill all the subsidies

January 13, 2011

Michael Giberson

In the Washington Monthly, Jeffrey Leonard argues that the president and Congress should join together to kill all energy subsidies. While sorting out what is and isn’t an energy subsidy can be tricky (the U.S. tax code isn’t exactly transparent in all respects), and I doubt a political majority can actually stomach the thought of pulling the plug on everything, still it is an appealing idea.

Here’s Leonard on the political moment that makes the idea at least conceivable:

So we find ourselves in a new political moment when for the first time it is possible to imagine an alliance of GOP libertarians, disaffected environmentalists, and budget hawks coming together for a grand deal that would sweep away sixty years of bad energy policy. Obama should seize the moment to bring this coalition together in support of a single objective: to eliminate all government subsidies and tax credits on production of allprimary sources of energy. Of course, he’d have to abandon his own long-held support for ethanol (the tax deal his administration brokered with the GOP in December included a twelve-month extension of the VEETC).

Yes, I’d object to several parts of the article. I’m not a fan of energy efficiency for energy efficiency’s sake – after all, it isn’t as if energy resources are the only thing to care about. But sundry points aside, the article contributes to a necessary discussion about getting the government out of the business of picking winners in the energy supply industry.

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Harder to hand out subsidies than you think

August 20, 2010

Michael Giberson

It is harder to hand out subsidies than you think, or at least hard to do it well.

The Arizona Republic explains some of the difficulties utilities in the state are having with their renewable energy subsidy programs.  For example, when Salt River Project announced it was going to cut it’s subsidy for home residential solar installations, a rush of last-minute applications for the higher subsidy rate cost the utility millions.

When Arizona Public Service saw its subsidy budget running out, it too dropped its subsidy rate, but to avoid a last minute rush like SRP, Arizona Public Service cut it’s rebate without advance notice. The sudden change surprised contractors and consumers who had consummated deals without knowing that the rebate had changed, and many of the consumers then wanted out of the deals.

One of the problems highlighted in the article comes from a whipsaw effect on contractors who see booms and busts in installation businesses when subsidy rates jump around. Of course these difficulties don’t have anything to do with renewable power per se, just with the general difficulty of program design and implementation. So don’t go thinking, “Aha, I knew renewable power was bad all along.”

(However, if you come away from the story thinking, “Aha, I knew electric utilities were not very sophisticated in understanding consumer behavior beyond what shows up in a load profile ….”)

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Shifting policy extinguishes short-lived Spanish solar boom, fortunately

March 9, 2010

Michael Giberson

The New York Times has a fascinating story on the solar power industry boom and bust in Spain created by shifting public policies. Similar effects have been observed from shifts in subsidy support for renewable power development in the United States, though because the subsidy was smaller and spread over a larger area the consequences were not so dramatic as described in the Spanish solar policy case.

The renewable power industry usually takes these boom-and-bust cycles as evidence that long-lasting subsidies are needed, but it may just signal that the subsidies are poorly designed and so neither economically nor politically sustainable.

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Government sponsored applied corporate research

January 29, 2010

Michael Giberson

I’m not necessarily opposed to government funding for research, but does General Electric really need taxpayer funds in order to do research on high-temperature electronics intended to support high tech oil and gas drilling?  Isn’t this exactly the kind of applied product research that, together, patent protections and markets can manage just fine?  Really, couldn’t General Electric, perhaps with the support of the oil and gas industry or the oil and gas equipment manufacturing industry, come up with a few million dollars more without U.S. Department of Energy support?

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U.S. Biodiesel continues to need taxpayer support, or else…

November 24, 2009

Michael Giberson

I am mildly amazed that it is possible to take something as simple as, say, palm oil or soybean oil, and – with a few relatively simple chemical tricks – turn it into motor vehicle fuel.  [See it on YouTube.] However, I’m not so amazed that I’m willing to pay you or anyone else a $1 for every gallon of the fuel produced.

The biodiesel business in the United States is hoping that enough people remain amazed at the simple techno-wizardry that they can continue to claim a $1 per gallon federal tax break.  The tax break, which has been around since 2004, will expire at the end of this year unless Congress approves another year of subsidies for the companies.

The Houston Chronicle suggests that several biodiesel companies are having a hard time making money even with the $1 per gallon subsidy.  The story does, briefly, hint that there could be some sort of public benefit involved in the production and consumption of biodiesel (“help reduce greenhouse gas emissions and oil consumption”), but nowhere else in the article does anyone express concern over anything other than how the loss of the subsidy will hurt the economic fortunes of the subsidized companies.  Instead, the concern is mostly for protecting investors in the biodiesel business (Comments: “[Loss of tax support] would be devastating,” “The tax extension is critical to an industry that is on life support,” “Every day that policy doesn’t get passed hurts us”).

I admit, biodiesel is a neat trick, just not so neat that I want to pay to keep these guys in business.

[As of today, the most current information on biodiesel that I could find on the EIA website only covers through the end of 2008, so it doesn't reveal if U.S. producers have been hard hit by the loss of the European "splash and dash" market.]

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Does the Wall Street Journal employ anyone who understands energy markets? Three rejoinders

September 4, 2009

Michael Giberson

In Grist, Adam Browing asks, “Does the Wall Street Journal employ anyone who understands energy markets?“  Browning’s question and his answer seem just a little off, as I’ll discuss below, but first an excerpt from Browning:

Actually, I think they do.  I think Keith Johnson knows quite a bit about energy markets.  Which makes this hit job on solar subsidies, published before the Senate considers national renewable energy legislation, so disturbing.

After chronicling the problems of the Spanish solar industry, the article goes on to say:

“Clean-energy skeptics, however, point to Spain as a cautionary tale of a government policy … with disastrous consequences.  … California and New Jersey, which lead the U.S. in solar power, are among states that have used subsidies similar to the ones in Spain to make solar power more attractive”

This is in fact incorrect.

Spain used a singular policy, a fixed price, standard offer contract known as a feed-in tariff.

California, on the other hand, has several different policy mechanisms, and each one is market-based.  They look nothing like Spain at all.

My first reaction: Browning isn’t asking about energy markets, per se, but the design of energy subsidies.  Really he complains about the WSJ‘s characterization of public policy tools.  Browning is director of The Vote Solar Initiative and a former EPA official, so I’d expect him to be aware of various environmental policy tools.  Energy markets – maybe not so much.

My second reaction: Does he really say that California’s policies look nothing at all like Spain’s feed-in tariffs, even though one of California’s policies is a feed-in tariff?  He describes it as a market-based feed-in tariff later in this very post, and in another post at Grist he says it is “kind of like a feed-in tariff, but different.”  So I guess that is it: it is “kind of like a feed-in tariff,” but nothing at all like Spain’s feed-in tariff.

Huh?

Then he trumpets the fact that “most” of the recent utility contracts signed by California utilities with solar power providers (with the aim of complying with the state’s Renewable Portfolio Standard mandate) have been “under the price of natural gas.” He repeats this claim again –  “clean energy, cheaper than natural gas” — and again — “Solar is getting cheap—cheaper than fossil fuel alternatives—and Congress has nothing to fear by getting aggressive on clean energy.”

But the contract he offers a helpful link to, between PG&E and First Solar, clearly describes that part of the project plan is to cash in on Federal subsidies for solar power projects.  In addition, the contract clearly states that the project is eligible for “above-market funds (‘AMFs’)”, which is California regulatory-speak for a pool of money available to help utilities meet RPS mandates when proposed projects are more expensive than other alternatives in the market. In fact, the reference point isn’t actual fossil fuel project proposals presented in actual market competition but rather a “Market Price Referent” established in regulatory processes.

My third reaction: This is “cheaper” only if we ignore the subsidies.

[Separately, on The Vote Solar Initiatives' "four key buttons that must be pushed in order to make the [solar power] market work”, I’d say only “(2.) Standardized interconnection procedures” is a clear winner.  The Spain example discussed by the WSJ shows some limits of policy (1.), a kind of demand-push-assume-economies-of-scale-follow approach.  “3. Net Metering” and “4. Fair Rate Design” are just attempts at providing distributed, small subsidizes through regulated rate structures.

In my view we can’t subsidize the market into becoming more efficient.  Yes, their are problems associated with fossil fuel use.  Better to identify the externalities associated with generating technologies actually causing third-party harm, and push for policies which get the parties responsible to pay for the harm.  Wasting resources will not save the earth.]

[HT to Keith Johnson of the WSJ's Environmental Capital]

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A solar panel, a jug of wine and thou

April 24, 2009

Michael Giberson

From RenewableEnergyWorld, an news release from solar developer Conergy:

Going Green Reaches Economic Tipping Point at Wine and Shine 2009

Solar Energy Experts Conergy and Three Renowned California Vintners Showcase How Today’s Clean, Renewable Solar Energy Solutions Can Reap Millions In Cash Rebates, Tax Incentives and Energy Savings

PASO ROBLES, CA – April 23, 2009

Going green has reached an economic tipping point – and its epicenter is at the heart of California’s bedazzling central coast. This Earth Week, J. Lohr Vineyards & Wines, Eos Estate Winery & Clautiere Vineyard are affording businesses throughout the region a first-hand look at how they’re spending your tax dollars (ed. note: sorry for the intrusion.) using the solar energy solutions of Conergy to slash energy costs, reap robust financial incentives and harness the persistent power of the sun to fuel their operations as they protect the integrity of one of the most beautiful destinations on Earth: Paso Robles, California.

Wine and Shine 2009 is a behind-the-scenes tour of the leading-edge solar solutions these sustainable brands are employing to not only protect the integrity of the lands they harvest, but establish their brands as eco-smart solutions that can inspire vintners, growers, public agencies, water authorities and entrepreneurs with energy-intensive businesses throughout the West. It also presents an enticing opportunity to enjoy a tasting of the sun-kissed fruits of J. Lohr Vineyards & Wines, Eos Estate Winery & Clautiere Vineyard’s award-winning vines….

A number of jokes are suggested by the combination of “wine” and “tipping point.” Imagine one of those jokes. Laugh.

A number of very serious issues are raised by taxpayer subsidies of energy costs at wineries. Imagine one of those issues. Bang head against the wall.

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Environmental benefits and the production tax credit for wind power

March 16, 2009

Michael Giberson

Wind power has been subsidized by state and federal governments in the United States because it is seen as clean and renewable, and perhaps even because wind power is seen as glamorous. Consumers pay higher electric rates and taxpayers pay higher taxes to support these subsidies, and it is a quite reasonable public policy question to ask whether the benefits are worth the costs. (Of course wind power is not the only energy technology subsidized by government policy.)

The primary external benefits from expanded wind power production comes from emissions avoided due to the reduced use of fossil-fuel fired electric generation, predominantly natural gas and coal. Which fuel is displaced, however, depends in large part on where the wind power project is located and what time of day the wind power is put onto the grid.

Conventionally, an estimate of reduced emissions might be made through an elaborate production cost modeling exercise, comparing overall use of different input fuels against scenarios featuring different levels of installed wind capacity. It is one useful approach, but it would be good as a reality check to test such estimates against actual data. Two recent estimates of fuel displaced by wind power rely on data analysis to get their results.

Monitoring_Analytics-Fuel_displaced_by_wind_power, link to larger view on FlickrA relatively straightforward approach to this estimate was taken by Monitoring Analytics, the external market monitor for the PJM market, in preparing “Estimated Marginal Fuel Displacement By Wind Generation in PJM.” The chart was posted online without accompanying documentation, but folks at Monitoring Analytics tell me their estimate was derived from market data on wind power output by hour combined with data on marginal generation by fuel type by hour. As the chart nearby indicates, about 75 to 80 percent of the wind-produced power in PJM displaced coal-fired power. (Coal is the orange portion of the bars.)

Joseph Cullen took a more data-intensive econometric approach to estimating the fuel displaced and related emission reductions in ERCOT due to wind power. Cullen ran regressions on the output of each non-wind generating unit in the ERCOT market against wind power output to identify the actual responsiveness of each generator to changes in wind power. (I’m over-simplifying his methods. See his paper for details.) In ERCOT, for the time period analyzed, Cullen estimated that about 80 percent of the time wind displaced gas-fired generation and about 20 percent of the time wind displaced coal-fired generation.

One of my policy objections to the production tax credit approach to subsidizing wind power is that it offers the same subsidy per MWh output without respect to the environmental benefits provided (if any). Therefore it tends to be more attractive to the developer to invest where wind power output will be high – i.e. West Texas, among other places – and the external benefits relatively muted – instead of where the external benefits would be high, as in PJM. So much wind power capacity has been added in West Texas, relative to the current grid capability, that wind power capacity in effect just displaces other wind power generation during high output periods.

Why should consumers and taxpayers subsidize that?

From a commercial point of view, it certainly makes sense to build wind power where wind power output will be high. I’m not opposed to smart commercial activity. I don’t see that public policies should subsidize it. Rather, public policy should be oriented at achieving external benefits in a cost-effective manner.

Consumers and taxpayers will end up getting more for their money from policies that put a price on the externality.

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