Knowledge Problem

December 7, 2009

Bars take donations to pay smoking fines

Filed under: Economics — Tags: — lkiesling @ 7:24 am

Lynne Kiesling

Here’s an illustration of several important economic points. Illinois instituted a smoking ban in bars and restaurants in January 2008. One of the arguments for such smoking bans is to spare patrons and employees the negative effects of second-hand smoke. Clearly such a blanket ban has some negative unintended consequences that reduce economic efficiency relating to individual liberty; in particular, the legislation does not allow for voluntary smoking bars, where all patrons and employees knowingly and voluntarily choose to work at and patronize the bar.

The Crowbar, on the southeast side of Chicago near the Indiana border, provides an experiment on precisely this point. The bar’s owner takes donations to pay for the fines that he is charged for allowing smoking:

Owner Pat Carroll said his customers — smokers and nonsmokers alike — contribute to a “smoking fund” canister that often sits on the bar, to subsidize the fines he’s incurred for flouting the law.

Carroll said he’s been ticketed twice and paid at least $680. He fears that if he forbids smoking, his cigar-and-cigarette crowd would switch to bars that permit smoking just a few blocks away in Indiana. …

But some smokers say they’ll support any tavern that gives them sanctuary. Laura Pugh said she contributes $5 a month to Crowbar’s smoking fund, considering it akin to membership fees at a private club. If she couldn’t smoke there, Pugh said she’d probably go to a bar in Indiana.

First, notice what the legislation has done in terms of redefining property rights. In essence smokers are purchasing the right to smoke, because the legislation makes the default property right the non-smoker’s right to clean air.

That’s about the kindest interpretation I can put on the smoking legislation, because it does still also contain a substantial dose of the coercive public-health nanny mentality that is frequently reflected in the arguments for such legislation. For example, this quote from the Tribune story illustrates the mentality:

“There are always some bad apples out there who will try to get around the law,” said Tim Hadac, spokesman for the Chicago Department of Public Health. …

Katie Lorenz of the American Lung Association in Greater Chicago said she was disappointed that some bars weren’t complying; she added that the secondhand smoke harms employees and non-smoking patrons. “This is a health issue, and it affects every single person who happens to be in the bar,” she said. “What’s in the best interest of everyone is to not inhale those toxic fumes.”

Note the moralizing and the no-exceptions mentality in these quotes. If a group of people voluntarily choose to patronize and work at a particular establishment, with full awareness of the health effects of smoking, they are “bad apples” because they find the law unnecessarily onerous and believe that their voluntary choice to patronize a smoking bar does not harm anyone who has not made that conscious choice. Lorenz’s statement that the smoking ban is “in the best interest of everyone” applies a uniform public health standard but ignores differences in preferences and willingness to bear risk among people in the population.

Another important part of the economic dynamic here is the inter-jurisdictional competition. One reason the Crowbar continues to allow smoking is the owner’s fear of losing business to competing bars over the Indiana border. I bet that if you analyzed compliance with the smoking ban it would increase as you move away from the Indiana border, other things equal.

December 6, 2009

Rooftop honey in Chicago

Filed under: Economics, Food and wine — Tags: , , — lkiesling @ 4:21 pm

Lynne Kiesling

The Marriott hotel on Michigan Avenue has been harvesting honey from beehives they have set up on their own roof. They use the honey in an on-site microbrew beer and in some of the dishes they make in their restaurant. What do you think are some of the economic motives driving such a decision? Is on-premise honey sufficiently esoterically gourmet to be that compelling to consumers?

Beckham’s chances of playing for England in the World Cup…

Filed under: Humor, Professional sports — Tags: , — Michael Giberson @ 7:23 am

Michael Giberson

…must be about zero after he used the words “soccer ball” when clearly he meant “football.”

See this video from South Africa ( highlighting the introduction of the new Adidas ball for World Cup 2010) at the 3:36 mark.  Too much time in the States?

December 5, 2009

Tea online: Rate Tea

Filed under: Food and wine — Tags: — lkiesling @ 4:03 pm

Lynne Kiesling

I drink tea. Lots of tea. Mostly strong, black tea with milk and some Splenda. I prefer Assam and its big, malty body. I’m not such a tea weenie that I drink only loose leaf tea, but I am enough of a tea weenie that when I travel home from London, I always bring back several boxes of Twinings Assam tea bags (not available in the U.S.) and at least a pound of loose-leaf breakfast tea from Fortnum & Mason. I know I’m pathetic, but I’m OK with that …

So I’m excited about Rate Tea, a new independent tea rating web site. In addition to being able to rate teas, it links to several other tea-related web sites, so it can serve as a tea portal (see, I warned you, I’m a tea weenie …). It looks like it will be thorough and useful, and now just needs to be populated with ratings. If you are a tea drinker, head on over, sign up, and rate some teas!

It’s also interesting because its proprietor, Alex Zorach, is a statistician with a particular interest in developing rating algorithms. Check it out!

UPDATE: Another good online tea community is Steepster, which has more of a social networking nature to it. Rate Tea and Steepster are complements, not substitutes.

December 4, 2009

Reduced air emissions due to wind power: More

Filed under: Electricity, Environmental policy — Tags: — Michael Giberson @ 6:13 pm

Michael Giberson

Kent Hawkins has a further post at Master Resource examining the effects of wind power on overall emissions produced in a power system.

In the post Hawkins examines the Michael Milligan et al, article, “Wind Power Myths Debunked,” appearing in the most recent IEEE Power and Energy Magazine (an article mentioned in comments I made here pointing out Hawkins’s earlier post). The “debunking” of Milligan et al seeks to portray many issues raised with respect to wind power as less important than wind power critics assert.

Hawkins’s response aims to debunk the debunking.  If you are inclined to rely on the Milligan et al article, you ought to consider the objections raised by Hawkins seriously.

Thankful for lax security at Turkey Point?

Filed under: Electricity, Liberty — Michael Giberson @ 8:55 am

Michael Giberson

The Miami Herald reports that early Thanksgiving morning smugglers dropped 30-plus Cuban migrants off on the property of the Turkey Point nuclear power plant, 25 miles south of Miami.  Apparently the group remained undetected on the property for about 8 hours, at which time the group called the plant’s control room seeking a second helping of mashed potatoes and gravy help. (The plant has call boxes on the property for the use of maintenance workers.)

The Herald said:

A spokesman for Florida Power & Light said Friday that the group was six miles from the reactors, and the power plant in southern Miami-Dade County “was not affected in any way.”

But the utility, which boasts of tight security in the area, did not address why its security personnel apparently did not become aware of the Cubans’ presence on Turkey Point for up to eight hours.

Power market design example

Filed under: Electricity, Energy markets, Uncategorized — Tags: , , , — Michael Giberson @ 7:08 am

Michael Giberson

Ever wonder what a RTO power market design looks like?  Here is one view, in the form of the 106-page “Mid Level Description” of the Southwest Power Pool market currently under development.  (Note that the link is to a 1.4 MB zip file which contains the “SPP Future Markets Design/Energy and Operating Reserve Markets and Transmission Congestion Rights Markets/Mid-Level Description,” and an accompanying memo from the SPP Market Working Group which describes a bit of the process that went into producing the document.)

For a taste of the document, here’s a paragraph on “Block Demand Response Resources” (BDR) from page 3.9:

In the RTBM, if the BDR is committed and dispatched in the DA Market or RUC, the BDR Minimum Economic Capacity Operating Limit will be increased to match the dispatched amount and only Spinning Reserve will be allowed to clear above minimum output if the BDR is a Spin Qualified Resource.  Spinning Reserve clearing will be based upon submitted Ramp-Rate Up curve for BDR, the submitted Spinning Reserve Offer and the BDR’s Maximum Economic Capacity Operating Limit.

Based on a quick, haphazard scan through the document, the paragraph is of approximately median readability compared to the rest of the text.  Note: RTBM = Real Time Balancing Market, RUC = Reliability Unit Commitment, and DA = Day Ahead.

Easterly on the civil war in development economics

Filed under: Economics — Tags: , — Michael Giberson @ 6:21 am

Michael Giberson

William Easterly writes, “Few people outside academia realize how badly Randomized Evaluation has polarized academic development economists for and against.”

That claim seems reasonable enough. I’d bet few people outside academia know what randomized evaluation is. Frankly, I’d bet you could survey economists on the floor of the upcoming American Economic Association meetings in Atlanta and, for non-development specialist, find that fewer than 50 percent “realize how badly Randomized Evaluation has polarized academic development economists.”

Easterly raises the point as a way to introduce a conference and now edited book volume — he helped organize the conference and edit the book — which brought together the fors and againsts for dialog.

December 3, 2009

Shale gas as a game changer: A view from the UK

Filed under: Energy markets — Tags: , , — Michael Giberson @ 9:27 am

Michael Giberson

Production of natural gas from shale has dramatically changed the U.S. energy resource picture, and although experience elsewhere is limited* it is increasingly obvious that this not just a North American story. Nick Grealy, at No Hot Air, considers the implications for the UK:

North American shale gas already has a significant indirect effect on UK, European and World Gas Prices. Even in the unlikely event that there are no UK shale plays, the UK, due to exposure to international market forces, will be in the position of benefiting from an acquired immunity which will provide low prices for natural gas for many years to come. Some observers believe that volatility will also ebb and that prices will be both low and stable.

A pair of recent No Hot Air posts emphasize the fallout from the changing gas market: “Gas v. Coal,” and “Gas as the new UK baseload.”

HT to FT:Energy Source, which provides complementary remarks: “LNG glut driving a UK baseload power shift.”

*Experience in the United States is limited, too, as extensive shale gas development began less than a decade ago. (That brief background is one reason significant uncertainty remains about the reliability of the new conventional wisdom about gas resources, at least in the minds of a few analysts.  However, as one gas developer explained, the industry actually has years and years of experience drilling in and around shale formations.  It isn’t as if the resource is unknown; it is just that it was not previously accessible and economic to develop.)

December 2, 2009

Hamilton on oil prices and the recession

Filed under: Economics, Energy markets — Tags: , , — Michael Giberson @ 9:16 am

Michael Giberson

James Hamilton, “Will rising oil prices derail the recovery?“:

I have no doubt that the problems with financial markets were a bigger factor than oil prices in the striking collapse in output in 2008:Q4 and 2009:Q1. The other approaches to measuring the contribution of oil to the downturn surveyed in my Brookings paper would estimate a smaller contribution of oil to the downturn than suggested by the figure above. On the other hand, all of the approaches surveyed in that paper suggest that oil made a material contribution to the initial downturn, and it seems hard to deny that that the severity of the financial crisis was exacerbated by the fact that the U.S. had spent three quarters in recession prior to the failure of Lehman in September 2008.

Hamilton then considers the concern that rising oil prices will dampen or destroy prospects for economic recovery.

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